stever20 wrote:adoraz wrote:The thing is it is totally ridiculous to think we'll finish *CLOSE* to the 2014 class.
2017: 0 five star and 13 four stars
2016: 1 five star and 12 four stars
2015: 2 five stars and 9 four stars
2014: 1 five star and 16 four stars
2013: 0 five star and 10 four stars
We will probably end up with 1 five star and 15 four stars, which obviously isn't anywhere close to the 2014 class. Really nobody should be impressed with the 2017 class at this point.
The truth is, we aren't recruiting the top 50 4 year players like the big time schools are. AAC already has one top 33 player (Big East has 0). Now you may say "wait AAC only has two four star recruits total for all of 2017", however those teams are in on a lot of five star players that just haven't committed yet.
When you have 2014 with 15 top 100 players, and 2017 with only like 10-11 top 100 players, that makes the 1/15 vs 1/16 gap much bigger. I'm not saying the 2017 class isn't good, but it's not the special class that the 2014 class was.
1 thing that's different as well- there's 14 more 4 star guys than in '14.
2017- 139 4/5 star players total
2014- 125 4/5 star players total.
The 2014 class for the Big East also had guys # 134 and #137. And Kelan Martin at #141.
2017- 13 top 150 players
2014- 20 top 150 players
It would take a LOT for this class to beat '14.
milksteak wrote:4-Star Wabissa Bede (PG) is announcing his commitment in just under an hour. It's between Butler, LaSalle, Minnesota, UMass and Virginia Tech. He's likely picking Virginia Tech.
stever20 wrote:I think part of things is how opposite we look at things....
You are more concerned with depth than I am. If this year had 1 5 star and 17 4 star guys(even though 7 of them were from 101-139)- you would say automatically that the class was better than '14. My position is that there are other metrics than 4 star recruits.
top 50- '14 had 4, '17 has 1 so far. '15 had 3. '16 had 2.
top 100- '14 had 15, '17 has 9 so far. '15 had 7. '16 had 7.
top 150- '14 had 20, '17 has 13 so far. '15 had 14. '16 had 16.
You act like the ONLY metric is 4/5 star guys, and I think that's crazy. '14 had 4 top 20 classes along with 5 top 50 classes.
'14 had 18 points by my calculator- 5 pts for top 10, 4 pts for 11-20, 3 pts for 21-30, 2 pts for 31-40, 1 pt for 41-50.
'17 now has 22 points by my calculator.
the key's going to be to maintain where we are right now. And that's going to be pretty difficult.
stever20 wrote:how exactly are top 50, 100, or 150 biased statistics?
The average 4/5 star recruit tells the story big time....
2014- 69.35
2015- 78.40
2016- 85.83
2017- 92.31
4 of the 2017 recruits are ranked lower than the last 2014 recruit(who was at #107).
I'm not downplaying the league, I'm just saying this class right now is no where near the '14 class was. That class had 10 top 75 guys. I don't think you realize just how good that class was. And that class is why the Big East has had so much success the last few years. This class right now doesn't come close to matching that class.
So 2014 had more top 50, more top 100, more top 150, and had an average player 23 spots better right now than 2017. How exactly is this even remotely close? The only metric where things are remotely close quite frankly is 4 star guys. You think all 4 stars are alike. There's a difference between a 4 star ranked #25 and a 4 star ranked #138.
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