stever20 wrote:NJRedman wrote:stever20 wrote:this article is stupid. I've said all along that this year is a total pass for Mullin.
I said this in June:
St John's will be pretty poor this year. They have a brutal OOC schedule. Long term they're going to be really good but next year if they can win even 10 games it's going to be a good season. Think it'll be similar to the year that Lavin was out.
I think the thing is- I remember Temple a few years ago 1st year of AAC. They had a year very similar to this. While Temple isn't great- they've been in the top 75 both the last 2 years, where a break or 2 and they're in the tourney both seasons. So there is hope for St John's.
If St John's is 1-16 this time next year, all bets are off for St John's and Mullin though. Next year Mullin doesn't get the pass he had this year.
Thats totally true if they are 1-16 but it's not like they are supposed to be challenging for the conference title next year either. A .500 season in conference play would be a HUGE win for the program next year. Next year is all about taking a step forward. The progress of the kids on the team this year and building the chemistry with the new kids coming in. The beginning of the year could be rough but as long as they are playing well together during the second half of the season then that will be good for us.
After next year we only lose Jones who has grown more than I thought was possible this season and Darien Williams who was out all year with a hurt shoulder.
I think the one red flag that could come up is if there's an unexpected transfer or two leaving St John's. Totally not expecting it- but this is college basketball...
I think .500 conference record may be a bit ambitious- but I'd say a reasonable goal next season would be like 6 conference wins and maybe a .500 finish overall.
herodotus wrote:I don't think there is any way this will be a spectacular failure, but Mullin's ceiling is very much an unknown. They could easily plateau at around the same level as PC. That sounds good right now, but 5-6 years in, if they are pretty much a bubble type team, the fans and alums will be griping, as that is pretty much what they were under Lavin. Mullin will get the talent level up, but will he be a good enough coach to get them to the next level? No one knows. Both the folks who claim they know he can do it, and those who think he can't, are talking out of their behinds. They don't know. Time will tell though. I can't blame some folks for being skeptics though. Off the top of my head, I can't recall one case where an alum who starred in the NBA, has come back to his struggling alma mater, and turned things all the way around. Houston, which was every bit as good as St. John's in the 80's (3 Final Fours, to St. John's 1), brought back Clyde Drexler, a better player than Mullin, and it didn't work. Personally, I'm very interested in watching it play out.
NJRedman wrote:herodotus wrote:I don't think there is any way this will be a spectacular failure, but Mullin's ceiling is very much an unknown. They could easily plateau at around the same level as PC. That sounds good right now, but 5-6 years in, if they are pretty much a bubble type team, the fans and alums will be griping, as that is pretty much what they were under Lavin. Mullin will get the talent level up, but will he be a good enough coach to get them to the next level? No one knows. Both the folks who claim they know he can do it, and those who think he can't, are talking out of their behinds. They don't know. Time will tell though. I can't blame some folks for being skeptics though. Off the top of my head, I can't recall one case where an alum who starred in the NBA, has come back to his struggling alma mater, and turned things all the way around. Houston, which was every bit as good as St. John's in the 80's (3 Final Fours, to St. John's 1), brought back Clyde Drexler, a better player than Mullin, and it didn't work. Personally, I'm very interested in watching it play out.
But there is a huge difference between Mullin the player and Drexler the player. Clyde was just physically better than almost everyone he played against while Mullin was smarter than those he played against. Mullin wasn't fast and he couldn't really jump. He was smart and was well conditioned. The comparison is not apples to apples. The smarter player will usually be the better coach than the freakishly athletic player.
herodotus wrote:NJRedman wrote:herodotus wrote:I don't think there is any way this will be a spectacular failure, but Mullin's ceiling is very much an unknown. They could easily plateau at around the same level as PC. That sounds good right now, but 5-6 years in, if they are pretty much a bubble type team, the fans and alums will be griping, as that is pretty much what they were under Lavin. Mullin will get the talent level up, but will he be a good enough coach to get them to the next level? No one knows. Both the folks who claim they know he can do it, and those who think he can't, are talking out of their behinds. They don't know. Time will tell though. I can't blame some folks for being skeptics though. Off the top of my head, I can't recall one case where an alum who starred in the NBA, has come back to his struggling alma mater, and turned things all the way around. Houston, which was every bit as good as St. John's in the 80's (3 Final Fours, to St. John's 1), brought back Clyde Drexler, a better player than Mullin, and it didn't work. Personally, I'm very interested in watching it play out.
But there is a huge difference between Mullin the player and Drexler the player. Clyde was just physically better than almost everyone he played against while Mullin was smarter than those he played against. Mullin wasn't fast and he couldn't really jump. He was smart and was well conditioned. The comparison is not apples to apples. The smarter player will usually be the better coach than the freakishly athletic player.
Stereotype much? You don't know whether Clyde was a smart player or not. Jordan was as gifted as anyone who ever played the game. I'd put his smarts up against Mullin's any day of the week, month, or year.
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