Bubble Watch

[whiteandblue77]

I can't believe Iowa is a lock. Any team which loses to Dayton shouldn't be a lock.

Dayton's a top 15 team.

Dear Bill, please answer honestly, where did you go to school?

[Fieldhouse Flyer]

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bubblewatch

ESPN's Bubble Watch - Updated: February 16, 2016, 9:16 AM ET

[stever20]

was looking at bubble watch for today...

right now Nova and X locks, PC should be in....

right now 13 locks and 11 should be in's. over 7 conferences. So 17 at large spots accounted for so far.... Leaves only 19 spots now left....

[Fieldhouse Flyer]

Bubble breakdown - Jeff Eisenberg, The Dagger - February 17, 2016

TUESDAY'S BUBBLE WINNERS

Butler (18-8, 7-7): Butler's quest to recover from a 3-6 start to Big East play got a boost on Tuesday when the Bulldogs avoided a sweep at the hands of a fellow bubble team. Kelan Martin and Austin Etherington both hit four threes apiece to lead Butler to an 88-75 victory over Creighton. The Bulldogs remain right on track to finish around the NCAA tournament cutline. They have quality wins over Big Ten power Purdue and fellow bubble teams Creighton, Cincinnati and Seton Hall and they only have one bad loss at streaky Marquette. Butler has a huge opportunity at first-place Villanova this weekend and then games remaining against Georgetown, Seton Hall, and Marquette. The Bulldogs probably need to win at least two of those to have a realistic shot at an NCAA tournament bid.


RPI Forecast – BUTLER - through games of Feb. 15, 2016 (5 games remaining. Predicted: 4-1)

Date • Opponent (Opponent’s Forecast Final RPI Ranking) • Location • Predicted W/L Predicted Point Spread

2-16 • Creighton (75.2) • Home • W 6.2
2-20 • Villanova (3.3) • Away • L -9.1
2-27 • Georgetown (76.0) • Away • W 1.1
3-2 • Seton Hall (54.2) • Home • W 6.0
3-5 • Marquette (125.4) • Home • W 11.6

[Fieldhouse Flyer]

RPI Rankings – Updated February 25, 2016

2 Villanova
3 Xavier
39 Providence
44 Seton Hall
45 Pittsburgh
46 South Dakota State
47 San Diego State
48 George Washington
49 Stony Brook
50 Yale
51 Alabama
52 Michigan
53 Akron
54 St Mary's (CA)
55 Vanderbilt
56 Temple
57 Syracuse
58 Valparaiso
59 Cincinnati
60 Davidson
61 North Carolina Wilmington
62 Chattanooga
63 Virginia Commonwealth
64 Butler

RPI Forecast – through games of Feb. 24, 2016

2 Villanova
3 Xavier
42 Seton Hall
57 Providence
61 Butler

RPI Forecast – PROVIDENCE - through games of Feb. 24, 2016

Date • Opponent (Opponent’s Forecast Final RPI Ranking) • Location • Predicted W/L Predicted Point Spread

2-27 • DePaul (186.6) • Home • Win 12.8
3-2 • Creighton (87.4) • Home • Win 2.5
3-5 • St. John's (226.9) • Away • Win 8.7

RPI Forecast – BUTLER - through games of Feb. 24, 2016

Date • Opponent (Opponent’s Forecast Final RPI Ranking) • Location • Predicted W/L Predicted Point Spread

2-27 • Georgetown (90.3) • Away • Win 2.1
3-2 • Seton Hall (44.8) • Home • Win 6.0
3-5 • Marquette (110.3) • Home • Win 11.0

[BEX]

Joe Lunardi Retweeted

RPI less of a factor every year.

[herodotus]

Joe Lunardi Retweeted

RPI less of a factor every year.

I hear they're looking more at bpi, and Kenpom. Those two like Butler, and Seton Hall, but don't like PC at all.

[BEX]

http://espn.go.com/blog/collegebasketba ... acketology

[Fieldhouse Flyer]

Joe Lunardi Retweeted

RPI less of a factor every year.

‘Eye test’ more of a factor every year.

2015-16 RPI Rankings • Overall W-L Record - updated February 27, 2016

2 – Villanova • 24-4
3 – Xavier • 25-3
38 – Seton Hall • 20-7
42 – Providence • 19-9
65 – Butler • 18-9

2014-15 RPI Rankings • Overall W-L Record – RealTime.com – Selection Sunday, March 15, 2015 (with NCAA Tournament Teams shown in bold font)

2014-15 RPI Top 65 Teams that went to the NIT:

29 – Colorado State. • 26-6
34 – Temple • 23-10
45 – Old Dominion • 24-7
46 – Tulsa • 22-9
49 – Iona • 26-8
54 – Green Bay • 22-8
56 – Louisiana Tech • 24-8
57 – Richmond • 19-13
59 – Stanford • 19-13
62 – Illinois State • 20-12
63 – Murray State • 25-5
64 – Yale • 20-10
65 – Miami (FL) • 21-12

Selected 2014-15 RPI Top 65 Teams that went to the NCAA Tournament:

48 – UCLA • 20-13
51 – Oklahoma State • 17-13
55 – Purdue • 21-12
58 – LSU • 22-10
60 – Mississippi • 20-12
61 – Indiana • 20-13

Related thread: NCAA Tournament Selection: Theory and Application (11 posts Feb. 11-12, 2016)

Related thread: Selection Committee Use of RPI (6 posts Feb. 16-18, 2016)

[anXUfan]

Does anyone really use the BPI? It's supposed to be quantitative, so does Vegas use it to predict winners? Does it provide any kind of insight that other ranking systems don't?