NCAA Tournament – Quantitative Reference Thread

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Re: NCAA Tournament – Quantitative Reference Thread

Postby Fieldhouse Flyer » Thu Oct 01, 2020 6:21 am

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BIG EAST TEAMS: AP Polls and NCAA Tournament Invitations 2014 to 2020

In order to celebrate UConn’s seven-year absence from the Big East, I have compiled the following information so that Huskies’ fans who have been absorbed in the American Athletic Conference can see what happened in the Big East Conference while UConn was pursuing dreams of big-time football.
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2014 Final AP Men's Top 20 Basketball Poll (2 Teams)
6. Villanova • Big East • 28-4
16. Creighton • Big East • 26-7

2014 NCAA Basketball Tournament (4 Teams • 2-4 Record)
Overall NCAA Rank • Seed No. • Team • Conference • Record

5 • #2 • Villanova • Big East • 28–4
11 • #3 • Creighton • Big East • 26–7
43 • #11 • Providence • Big East • 23–11
46 • #12* • Xavier • Big East • 21–12
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2015 Final AP Men's Top 20 Basketball Poll (3 Teams)
2. Villanova • Big East • 32-2
22. Georgetown • Big East • 21-10
24. Butler • Big East • 22-10

2015 NCAA Basketball Tournament (6 Teams • 5-6 Record)
Overall NCAA Rank • Seed No. • Team • Conference • Record

2 • #1 • Villanova • Big East • 32–22
16 • #4 • Georgetown • Big East • 21–10
22 • #6 • Providence • Big East • 22–11
23 • #6 • Butler • Big East • 22–10
24 • #6 • Xavier • Big East • 21–13
33 • #9 • St. John's • Big East • 21–11
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2016 Final AP Men's Top 20 Basketball Poll (3 Teams)
6. Villanova • Big East • 29-5
9. Xavier • Big East • 27-5
20. Seton Hall • Big East • 25-8

2016 NCAA Basketball Tournament (5 Teams • 9-4 Record)
Overall NCAA Rank • Seed No. • Team • Conference • Record

7 • #2 • Villanova • Big East • 29–5 • NATIONAL CHAMPIONS
8 • #2 • Xavier • Big East • 27–5

24 • #6 • Seton Hall • Big East • 25–8
33 • #9 • Providence • Big East • 23–10
34 • #9 • Butler • Big East • 21–10
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2017 Final AP Men's Top 20 Basketball Poll (2 Teams)
1. Villanova • Big East • 31-3
21.Butler • Big East • 23-8

2017 NCAA Basketball Tournament (7 Teams • 6-7 Record)
Overall NCAA Rank • Seed No. • Team • Conference • Record

1 • #1 • Villanova • Big East • 31–3
1 • #4 • Butler • Big East • 23-8
24 • #6 • Creighton • Big East • 25–9
34 • #9 • Seton Hall • Big East • 21–11
39 • #10 • Marquette • Big East • 19–12
41 • #11 • Xavier • Big East • 21–13
42 • #11* • Providence • Big East • 20–12
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2018 Final AP Men's Top 20 Basketball Poll (2 Teams)
2. Villanova • Big East • 30-4
3. Xavier • Big East • 28-5

2018 NCAA Basketball Tournament (6 Teams • 9-5 Record)
Overall NCAA Rank • Seed No. • Team • Conference • Record

2 • #1 • Villanova • Big East • 30–4 • NATIONAL CHAMPIONS
4 • #1 • Xavier • Big East • 28–5

29 • #8 • Seton Hall • Big East • 21–11
30 • #8 • Creighton • Big East • 21–11
33 • #10 • Butler • Big East • 20-13
35 • #10 • Providence • Big East • 21–13
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2019 Final AP Men's Top 20 Basketball Poll (1 Team)
23. Villanova • Big East • 25-9

2019 NCAA Basketball Tournament (4 Teams • 1-4 Record)
Overall NCAA Rank • Seed No. • Team • Conference • Record

17 • #5 • Marquette • Big East • 24–9
21 • #6 • Villanova • Big East • 25–9

38 • #10 • Seton Hall • Big East • 20–13
47 • #11* • St. John's • Big East • 21–12
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2020 Final AP Men's Top 20 Basketball Poll (4 Teams)
7. Creighton • Big East • 24-7
10. Villanova • Big East • 24-7
15. Seton Hall • Big East • 21-9
23. Butler • Big East • 22-9

2020 Final Bracket Matrix (6 Teams Predicted • Tournament Cancelled) - bracketmatrix.com – Selection Sunday, March, 2020 • Record
Averages of 97 Final Brackets

Overall BracketMatrix Rank • Seed No. • BM Average Seed No. • Team • Conference • Record


7 • #2 • 2.21 • Villanova • Big East • 24-7
8 • #2 • 2.31 • Creighton • Big East • 24-7
11 • #3 • 3.30 • Seton Hall • Big East • 21-9
18 • #3 • 3.30 • Butler • Big East • 22-9
32 • #8 • 8.14 • Providence • Big East • 19-12
33 • #9 • 8.87 • Marquette • Big East • 18-12

2020 NCAA Basketball Tournament
On March 12, 2020 the NCAA Tournament, as well as all other NCAA championships for the remainder of the academic season, was cancelled in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. It was the first time the tournament had been cancelled since its creation in 1939. The Big East called off its tournament at halftime during a quarter-final game between Creighton and St. John's. Most major conferences also announced suspensions of all athletics. Later in the day, the NCAA announced the Tournament would be cancelled.
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Summary of BIG EAST TEAMS: AP Polls and NCAA Tournament Invitations 2014 to 2020

Summary of AP Top 25 Polls 2014 to 2020

One Big East Team in the AP Top 25: 2019
Two Big East Teams in the AP Top 25: 2014, 2017, 2018
Three Big East Teams in the AP Top 25: 2015, 2016
Four Big East Teams in the AP Top 25: 2020

Average number of Big East teams in AP Top 25 Poll = (17 teams/7 years) = 2.4 teams per year.


Summary of NCAA Tournament Invitations 2014 to 2020

Four Big East Teams in the NCAA Tournament: 2014, 2019
Five Big East Teams in the NCAA Tournament: 2016
Six Big East Teams in the NCAA Tournament: 2015, 2018, 2020
Seven Big East Teams in the NCAA Tournament: 2017

Average number of Big East teams in the NCAA Tournament = (8+5+18+7 teams/7 years) = 5.4 teams per year.
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Bottom Line: The ten-team averages of 2.4 Big East teams in AP Top 25 Poll per year and 5.4 Big East teams in the NCAA Tournament per year have become the de facto benchmarks for the 10-team Big East Conference.
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Big East Benchmarks for the 2020-21 Season and Beyond:

If UConn is assumed to be a statistically average Big East team, the new benchmarks for the 11-team conference will be as follows:

Average number of Big East teams in the AP Top 25 Poll = (11/10)(17 teams/7 years) = 2.67 teams per year.

Average number of Big East teams in the NCAA Tournament = (11/10)(38 teams/7 years) = 5.97 teams per year.

Seven year from now, we can make apples-with-apples comparisons in order to determine the effect of UConn's addition on the average number of Big East teams in the AP Top 25 Poll and in the NCAA Tournament.
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Related:

Big East Conference Men’s Basketball - Big East Conference

Big East Conference 1979–2013 - Wikipedia

Big East Conference 2014-Present - Wikipedia

Comparing the 1950s to the Ten-School Big East Era 2014 to 2020 – Fieldhouse Flyer, HLOH post – August 2, 2020

List of NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Champions – Wikipedia

UConn Huskies Men’s Basketball – Wikipedia
Year • Seed No. • Team • Conference • Record

1999 • #1 • UConn • Big East • 28-2 • NATIONAL CHAMPIONS
2004 • #2 • UConn • Big East • 27-6 • NATIONAL CHAMPIONS
2011 • #3 • UConn • Big East • 26-9 • NATIONAL CHAMPIONS

2014 • #7 • UConn • AAC • 26-8 • NATIONAL CHAMPIONS
2016 • #9 • UConn • AAC • 24-10 • Last NCAA Tournament appearance

Welcome home, UConn. - admin, HLOH thread – July 1, 2020
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Re: NCAA Tournament – Quantitative Reference Thread

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Re: NCAA Tournament – Quantitative Reference Thread

Postby Fieldhouse Flyer » Tue Oct 06, 2020 6:06 am

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Good collection of numbers MUBoxer, and a good addition to the Quantitative Reference Thread.

The New Big East vs. The Old Big East – Post #9
On October 1, 2020 MUBoxer wrote:
DudeAnon wrote:
Considering the NBE has only been in existence for 7 years you would have to use a similar sample size for the OBE. Realistically, the OBE was only the dominant conference in the 80's. The 15 team super conference was a great regular season conference, but damn near every team but UConn would choke in the dance.

First, it was a 16 team super conference for 7 of those years.

So from 2005/06 - 2012/13 you can throw out Depaul, Rutgers, USF (1), Prov, SJU (1), and SHU (1) as they combine for 3 appearances so of the legit teams in that conference:

UConn 5 appearances; won in 11, FF 09, E8 06 = solid

Louisville 7 appearances; won in 13, FF 12, E8 in 08 & 09 = solid

Cuse 6 appearances; FF 13, E8 12, S16 09 & 10 = solid

Pitt 7 appearances; E8 09, S16 07 = choke


Marquette 8 appearances; E8 13, S16 11 & 12 = choke though not by much & two of those were due to injury

Villanova 7 appearances; FF 09, E8 06, S16 08 = solid but the last 4 years definitely choke

Georgetown 7 appearances; FF 07, S16 06 = choke

Notre Dame 6 appearances = choke

West Virginia 6 appearances; FF 10, S16 06 & 08 = solid *wasn't in conference during final year

Cincinnati 3 appearances; S16 12 = up in the air but I'd barely even call them a legit team during those 8 years


62 NCAA Tournament appearances with 25 times advancing past the first weekend - I wouldn't necessarily call it infamous for choking also need to factor in there were a few times where Big East teams knocked another Big East team out (ie: Marquette > Syracuse 2011, UConn > Cinci 2011, Syracuse > Marquette 2013).

Either way, it's difficult to justify calling that conference a bunch of chokers when we have Villanova's championships and just three other second weekend runs: 1 from Butler and 2 from Xavier in 6 tournaments.

I haven’t checked your numbers above, but thanks for taking the time to compile and post them.
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Re: NCAA Tournament – Quantitative Reference Thread

Postby Fieldhouse Flyer » Tue Jan 05, 2021 11:03 am

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NET RANKINGS 2020-21

The NCAA’s first release of their NET RANKINGS 2020-21 was published on Monday, January 4, 2021.

Further to Jet915’s January 4th post on the 2021 Rankings thread, below I have compiled a listing of the Top 50 teams in the NCAA’s first release of the NET Rankings, along with the Big East and Atlantic 10 teams that are not in the Top 50.

I intend to update this webpage again at the end of the regular season, and again on Selection Sunday.

Please use Django’s 2021 Rankings thread for NET Rankings updates and discussions, as this is a post is a Quantitative Reference for future comparison.

Gonzaga Bulldogs top first NET rankings with Duke Blue Devils, Kentucky Wildcats not in top 100 - Jeff Borzello, ESPN – Monday, January 4, 2021
For the most part, the blue bloods of the sport are nowhere to be found inside the top 50. Indiana is No. 51, UCLA No. 54, North Carolina No. 64, Duke No. 115, and Kentucky No. 144.

The Big Ten has been clearly the best conference in the country during the first half of the season, and that's reflected in the NET rankings. Four teams are ranked inside the top 11, and 12 of the 14 teams are ranked inside the top 51. Surprisingly, Michigan State is all the way down at No. 119, while Nebraska is No. 186.

College basketball rankings: Gonzaga tops debut of NCAA's NET rankings this season - Kyle Boone, CBS Sports – Monday, January 4, 2021
The season debut of the NET rankings -- the NCAA's own evaluation tool used by the NCAA Tournament selection committee to determine a team's resume -- has Gonzaga and Baylor at the top of its rankings in identical fashion as the AP Top 25 and Coaches Poll. But some stark differences in the metric already have emerged, starting with Tennessee, which sits at No. 3 in the NET. It's a higher-than-expected ranking that comes two days after it took its first loss on the year.

The AP and Coaches Polls will update later on Monday but neither Tennessee nor Illinois were top five teams in either polling metric as of last week. The Vols were ranked as low as No. 7 in the AP Poll before a 20 point win over No. 12 Missouri and an 8 point loss to unranked Alabama this week. The Illini were ranked as low as No. 16 in the Coaches Poll and won their only game this week, which was a home game against Purdue. Michigan, Iowa, Houston, Texas and Missouri comprise the five teams that occupy the No. 6-10 spots in the NET.

Teams that have not been ranked in the AP or Coaches Poll but are now in the NET top 25 include Colgate (No. 16), Drake (No. 20), and Syracuse (No. 25).

Because the NET is a two-component metric that adjusts for net adjusted efficiency and also has a Team Value Index that ranks based on results and quality of opponent, it opens up the possibility for a more inclusive and holistic picture of the sport. Here is a look at the top 25.

NET RANKINGS 2020-21 (with Conference, Record, Road W-L, Neutral W-L, Home W-L, Non-Div. 1 W-L) – NCAA.com
On January 4, 2021, in the first release of the 2020-21 NET Rankings, the NCAA wrote:
1 • Gonzaga • WCC • 10-0
2 • Baylor • Big 12 • 9-0
3 • Tennessee • SEC • 7-1
4 • Illinois • Big Ten • 8-3
5 • Villanova • Big East #1 • 8-1
6 • Michigan • Big Ten • 9-0
7 • Iowa Big Ten • 9-2
8 • Houston • AAC • 8-1
9 • Texas • Big 12 • 8-1
10 • Missouri • SEC • 7-1

11 • Wisconsin • Big Ten • 9-2
12 • Saint Louis • Atlantic 10 • 7-1
13 • Boise State • Mountain West • 7-1
14 • Colorado • Pac-12 • 7-3
15 • Clemson • ACC • 8-1
16 • Colgate • Patriot • 1-1
17 • Rutgers • Big Ten • 7-2
18 • Texas Tech • Big 12 • 8-3
19 • Oregon • Pac-12 • 8-1
20 • Drake • MVC • 11-0

21 • Arizona • Pac-12 • 9-1
22 • Florida • SEC • 5-1
23 • LSU • SEC • 6-2
24 • Arkansas • SEC • 9-1
25 • Syracuse • ACC • 6-1
26 • Southern California • Pac-12 • 6-2
27 • Kansas • Big 12 • 7-2
28 • Ohio State • Big Ten • 8-3
29 • West Virginia • Big 12 • 9-3
30 • Creighton • Big East #2 • 8-2

31 • VCU • Atlantic 10 • 8-2
32 • Maryland • Big Ten #7 • 6-5
33 • Louisville • ACC • 7-1
34 • Virginia Tech • ACC • 8-1
35 • Oklahoma State • Big 12 • 7-3
36 • Alabama • SEC • 7-3
37 • SMU • AAC • 6-1
38 • NC State • ACC • 6-1
39 • Winthrop • Big South • 8-0
40 • Colorado State • Mountain West • 5-2

41 • San Diego State • Mountain West • 6-2
42 • Penn State • Big Ten #8 • 3-4
43 • Minnesota • Big Ten #9 • 10-2
44 • Seton Hall • Big East #3 • 8-4
45 • Virginia • ACC • 5-2
46 • Xavier • Big East #4 • 8-2
47 • Purdue • Big Ten #10 • 7-5
48 • UConn • Big East #5 • 4-1
49 • Oklahoma • Big 12 • 6-2
50 • Northwestern • Big Ten #11 • 5-3

57 • St. Bonaventure • Atlantic 10 • 3-1
63 • Marquette • Big East #6 • 6-5
68 • Richmond • Atlantic 10 • 7-3
78 • Providence • Big East #7 • 7-4
79 • Rhode Island • Atlantic 10 • 5-5
92 • Davidson • Atlantic 10 • 5-4

111 • Dayton • Atlantic 10 • 5-2
112 • St. John's (NY) • Big East #8 • 6-4
134 • Duquesne • Atlantic 10 • 2-2
139 • Massachusetts • Atlantic 10 • 2-3
149 • Georgetown • Big East #9 • 3-6
150 • La Salle • Atlantic 10 • 4-5

155 • DePaul • Big East #10 • 1-2
169 • Notre Dame • ACC • 3-6
170 • Butler • Big East #11 • 2-5
189 • George Mason • Atlantic 10 • 4-3

243 • Saint Joseph's • Atlantic 10 • 0-7
275 • George Washington • Atlantic 10 • 3-7
337 • Fordham • Atlantic 10 • 0-2
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Re: NCAA Tournament – Quantitative Reference Thread

Postby Fieldhouse Flyer » Mon Mar 15, 2021 9:41 am

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NET RANKINGS 2020-21 – NCAA.com - Through Games on Selection Sunday, March 14, 2021
Rank • School • Conference • Overall W-L • (W-L vs. Quad 1 • W-L vs. Quad 2)

1 • Gonzaga • WCC • 26-0 • ( 8-0 • 6-0 ) ==> WEST COAST CONF. CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 1 Seed.
2 • Baylor • Big 12 • 22-2 • ( 8-2 • 2-0 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 1 Seed.
3 • Illinois • Big Ten • 23-6 • ( 12-5 • 5-1 ) ==> BIG TEN CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 1 Seed.
4 • Michigan • Big Ten • 20-4 • ( 8-3 • 6-1 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 1 Seed.

5 • Houston • AAC • 23-3 • ( 2-1 • 6-1 ) ==> AAC CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 2 Seed.
6 • Iowa • Big Ten • 21-8 • ( 8-6 • 5-2 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 2 Seed.
7 • Alabama • SEC • 24-6 • ( 8-4 • 9-1 ) ==> SEC CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 2 Seed.
8 • Ohio State • Big Ten • 21-9 • ( 9-7 • 6-2 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 2 Seed.

9 • Colgate • Patriot • 14-1 • ( 0-0 • 2-0 ) ==> PATRIOT CONF. CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 14 Seed.
10 • Loyola Chicago • MVC • 22-4 • ( 2-2 • 4-2 ) ==> MISSOURI VALLEY CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 8 Seed.

11 • Kansas • Big 12 • 19-8 • ( 7-8 • 2-0 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 3 Seed.
12 • Virginia • ACC • 18-6 • ( 5-4 • 4-1 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 4 Seed.
13 • Tennessee • SEC • 18-8 • ( 6-6 • 2-2 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 5 Seed.
14 • Arkansas • SEC • 22-6 • ( 6-5 • 6-1 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 3 Seed.
15 • Colorado • Pac-12 • 22-8 • ( 3-4 • 7-1 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 5 Seed.
16 • Texas Tech • Big 12 • 17-10 • ( 4-10 • 2-0 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 6 Seed.

17 • Villanova • Big East • 16-6 • ( 5-3 • 4-3 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 5 Seed.
18 • San Diego State • Mountain West • 22-4 • ( 1-3 • 7-1 ) ==> MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 6 Seed.
19 • Southern California • Pac-12 • 22-7 • ( 3-4 • 6-3 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 6 Seed.
20 • BYU • WCC • 19-6 • ( 3-4 • 5-2 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 6 Seed.

21 • Texas • Big 12 • 19-7 • ( 8-6 • 2-1 ) ==> BIG 12 CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 3 Seed.
22 • Purdue • Big Ten • 18-9 • ( 6-7 • 7-1 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 4 Seed.

23 • St. Bonaventure • Atlantic 10 • 16-4 • ( 4-2 • 3-1 ) ==> Atlantic 10 CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 10 Seed.
24 • West Virginia • Big 12 • 18-9 • ( 7-7 • 3-2 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 3 Seed.
25 • Florida State • ACC • 16-6 • ( 3-4 • 7-1 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 4 Seed.

26 • Creighton • Big East • 20-8 • ( 7-3 • 5-3 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 5 Seed.
27 • Wisconsin • Big Ten • 17-12 • ( 5-10 • 5-2 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 9 Seed.
28 • LSU • SEC • 18-9 • ( 5-8 • 3-1 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 8 Seed.
29 • Oklahoma State • Big 12 • 20-8 • ( 10-6 • 2-0 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 8 Seed.

30 • UConn • Big East • 15-7 • ( 4-4 • 3-3 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 7 Seed.

31 • Florida • SEC • 14-9 • ( 5-5 • 3-3 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 8 Seed.
32 • North Carolina • ACC • 18-10 • ( 3-9 • 8-0 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 8 Seed.
33 • Oregon • Pac-12 • 20-6 • ( 2-3 • 7-1 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 7 Seed.
34 • Georgia Tech • ACC • 17-8 • ( 3-6 • 6-0 ) ==> ACC CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 9 Seed.
35 • Maryland • Big Ten • 15-13 • ( 4-10 • 3-3 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 9 Seed.
36 • Oklahoma • Big 12 • 15-10 • ( 5-9 • 0-0 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 8 Seed.

37 • VCU • Atlantic 10 • 19-7 • ( 2-5 • 7-0 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 10 Seed.
38 • Rutgers • Big Ten • 15-11 • ( 4-9 • 6-2 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 10 Seed.
39 • Utah State • Mountain West • 19-8 • ( 2-5 • 2-1 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 11 Seed.
40 • Syracuse • ACC • 16-9 • ( 1-7 • 6-1 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 11 Seed.

41 • Clemson • ACC • 16-7 • ( 3-6 • 7-0 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 7 Seed.
42 • Penn State • Big Ten • 11-14 • ( 3-12 • 4-1 )

43 • Saint Louis • Atlantic 10 • 14-6 • ( 2-2 • 2-2 ) ==> NIT No. 1 Seed.
44 • Arizona • Pac-12 • 17-9 • ( 2-4 • 3-4 )
45 • Drake • MVC • 23-4 • ( 1-2 • 5-0 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 11* Seed.
46 • UCLA • Pac-12 • 17-9 • ( 2-6 • 3-3 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 11* Seed.
47 • Missouri • SEC • 16-9 • ( 7-6 • 2-3 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 9 Seed.
48 • Virginia Tech • ACC • 15-6 • ( 2-3 • 3-3 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 10 Seed.
49 • Duke • ACC • 13-11 • ( 2-5 • 5-4 ) ==> Declined a presumed invitation to the NIT.

50 • Boise State • Mountain West • 17-8 • ( 2-4 • 2-3 ) ==> NIT No. 2 Seed.

51 • Colorado State • Mountain West • 17-6 • ( 2-4 • 1-2 ) ==> NIT No. 1 Seed.
52 • Memphis • AAC • 16-8 • ( 0-4 • 4-3 ) ==> NIT No. 1 Seed.
53 • Ole Miss • SEC • 16-11 • ( 3-5 • 4-4 ) ==> NIT No. 1 Seed.
54 • UC Santa Barbara • Big West • 20-4 • ( 0-0 • 2-4 ) ==> BIG WEST CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 12 Seed.
55 • Winthrop • Big South • 23-1 • ( 0-0 • 2-0 ) ==> BIG SOUTH CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 12 Seed.
56 • Louisville • ACC • 13-7 • ( 1-6 • 6-0 ) ==> Declined a presumed invitation to the NIT.
57 • Seton Hall • Big East • 14-13 • ( 3-9 • 5-3 ) ==> Declined a presumed invitation to the NIT.
58 • Davidson • Atlantic 10 • 12-8 • ( 0-4 • 4-2 ) ==> NIT No. 2 Seed.
59 • North Texas • C-USA • 16-9 • ( 0-3 • 3-2 ) ==> C-USA CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 13 Seed.
60 • Kentucky • SEC • 9-16 • ( 3-11 • 3-4 )

61 • Xavier • Big East • 13-8 • ( 1-4 • 5-3 ) ==> Declined a presumed invitation to the NIT.
62 • Saint Mary's (CA) • WCC • 14-9 • ( 0-6 • 4-2 ) ==> NIT No. 2 Seed.
63 • Indiana • Big Ten • 12-15 • ( 2-12 • 6-2 )
64 • Georgetown • Big East • 13-12 • ( 3-9 • 5-1 ) ==> BIG EAST CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 12 Seed.
65 • SMU • AAC • 11-5 • ( 0-3 • 4-0 ) ==> NIT No. 3 Seed.
66 • Auburn • SEC • 13-14 • ( 1-9 • 5-3 )
67 • Toledo • MAC • 21-8 • ( 0-2 • 3-2 ) ==> NIT No. 3 Seed.
68 • Richmond • Atlantic 10 • 12-8 • ( 3-4 • 2-0 ) ==> NIT No. 2 Seed.
69 • St. John's (NY) • Big East • 16-11 • ( 2-7 • 5-2 ) ==> Declined a presumed invitation to the NIT.
70 • Michigan State • Big Ten • 15-12 • ( 5-10 • 4-2 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 11* Seed.

71 • Wright State • Horizon • 18-6 • ( 0-0 • 0-0 )
72 • Wichita State • AAC • 14-5 • ( 2-3 • 2-1 ) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 11* Seed.
73 • NC State • ACC • 13-10 • ( 1-7 • 3-2 ) ==> NIT No. 3 Seed.
74 • Abilene Christian • Southland • 19-4 • ( 0-2 • 0-0 ) ==> SOUTHLAND CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 14 Seed.
75 • Furman • SoCon • 13-9 • ( 0-2 • 1-4 )
76 • Louisiana Tech • C-USA • 20-7 • ( 1-2 • 1-2 ) ==> NIT No. 4 Seed.
77 • Minnesota • Big Ten • 14-15 • ( 4-11 • 3-3 )
78 • Stanford • Pac-12 • 14-13 • ( 4-6 • 1-5 )

79 • Buffalo • MAC • 15-8 • ( 0-1 • 1-3 ) ==> NIT No. 4 Seed.
80 • Dayton • Atlantic 10 • 14-9 • ( 3-2 • 3-4 ) ==> NIT No. 4 Seed.

81 • Western Kentucky • C-USA • 20-7 • ( 1-3 • 3-1 ) ==> NIT No. 3 Seed.
82 • Mississippi State • SEC • 15-14 • ( 1-8 • 6-4 ) ==> NIT No. 4 Seed.
83 • UAB • C-USA • 20-7 • ( 2-0 • 1-3 )
84 • UNC Greensboro • SoCon • 21-8 • ( 0-1 • 4-1 ) ==> SOUTHERN CONF. CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 13 Seed.
85 • Providence • Big East • 13-13 • ( 4-7 • 2-5 )
86 • Liberty • ASUN • 19-5 • ( 0-2 • 1-0 ) ==> ATLANTIC SUN CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 13 Seed.
87 • Ohio • MAC • 15-7 • ( 0-2 • 3-2 ) ==> MAC CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 13 Seed.
88 • Marshall • C-USA • 15-7 • ( 1-0 • 3-5 )
89 • Utah • Pac-12 • 12-13 • ( 2-6 • 2-4 )
90 • Belmont • OVC • 25-4 • ( 0-0 • 0-1 )

91 • Oregon State • Pac-12 • 16-12 • ( 5-5 • 2-4 ) ==> PAC-12 CHAMPIONS • NCAA Tournament No. 12 Seed.
92 • Northwestern • Big Ten • 8-15 • ( 2-11 • 3-3 )
93 • Notre Dame • ACC • 11-15 • ( 3-11 • 1-3 )

94 • Navy • Patriot • 15-3 • ( 1-1 • 0-0 )
95 • Marquette • Big East • 13-14 • ( 5-9 • 2-4 )
96 • Nevada • Mountain West • 15-10 • ( 1-5 • 4-1 )
97 • Missouri State • MVC • 15-7 • ( 0-3 • 0-2 )
98 • Georgia • SEC • 13-12 • ( 3-7 • 3-2 )
99 • LMU (CA) • WCC • 13-9 • ( 0-3 • 3-5 )
100 • Pittsburgh • ACC • 10-12 • ( 1-5 • 4-3 )

101 • Washington State • Pac-12 • 14-13 • ( 1-6 • 1-4 )
102 • Vanderbilt • SEC • 9-16 • ( 0-10 • 3-5 )

108 • Rhode Island • Atlantic 10 • 10-15 • ( 2-3 • 1-8 )
113 • Massachusetts • Atlantic 10 • 8-7 • ( 0-3 • 1-1 )
118 • Arizona State • Pac-12 • 11-14 • ( 0-8 • 1-5 )
122 • Butler • Big East • 10-15 • ( 2-9 • 4-4 )

126 • Nebraska • Big Ten • 6-20 • ( 1-13 • 1-6 )
130 • George Mason • Atlantic 10 • 12-9 • ( 1-1 • 1-7 )
131 • Duquesne • Atlantic 10 • 9-9 • ( 0-4 • 2-2 )
141 • TCU • Big 12 • 12-14 • ( 2-10 • 1-1 )
142 • South Carolina • SEC • 6-15 • ( 1-7 • 1-7 )
149 • Miami (FL) • ACC • 10-17 • ( 3-7 • 3-5 )
150 • Texas A&M • SEC • 8-10 • ( 0-5 • 2-1 )


163 • DePaul • Big East • 5-14 • ( 1-6 • 2-5 )
165 • California • Pac-12 • 8-20 • ( 1-6 • 2-8 )
182 • Kansas State • Big 12 • 9-19 • ( 0-15 • 1-1 )
189 • Wake Forest • ACC • 5-16 • ( 0-7 • 0-9 )
200 • Washington • Pac-12 • 5-21 • ( 1-7 • 1-9 )


203 • La Salle • Atlantic 10 • 8-16 • ( 1-5 • 3-5 )
221 • Saint Joseph's • Atlantic 10 • 5-15 • ( 1-5 • 0-7 )
258 • George Washington • Atlantic 10 • 5-12 • ( 0-1 • 0-3 )
320 • Fordham • Atlantic 10 • 2-12 • ( 0-2 • 0-5 )

March Madness 2021: Committee reveals official NCAA Tournament bracket seeding from 1-68 - David Cobb, CBS Sports – March 14, 2021
With the field officially set, let's take a look at the exact order in which the selection committee slotted things:

2021 NCAA Tournament Bracket Seed List

1. Gonzaga
2. Baylor
3. Illinois
4. Michigan
5. Alabama
6. Ohio State
7. Iowa

8. Houston
9. Arkansas
10. West Virginia
11. Texas
12. Kansas
13. Florida State
14. Purdue
15. Oklahoma State
16. Virginia
17. Creighton
18. Villanova

19. Tennessee
20. Colorado
21. USC
22. Texas Tech

23. BYU
24. San Diego State
25. Oregon
26. UConn

27. Clemson
28. Florida
29. LSU

30. Loyola Chicago
31. North Carolina
32. Oklahoma
33. Missouri
34. Georgia Tech
35. Wisconsin
36. Maryland
37. Virginia Tech
38. VCU
39. St. Bonaventure

40. Rutgers
41. Syracuse

42. Utah State
43. Michigan State
44. UCLA

45. Wichita State
46. Oregon State
47. Georgetown


48. Drake
49. Winthrop
50. UC Santa Barbara
51. Ohio
52. North Texas
53. Liberty
54. UNC Greensboro
55. Abilene Christian
56. Morehead State
57. Colgate
58. Eastern Washington
59. Grand Canyon
60. Cleveland State
61. Oral Roberts
62. Iona
63. Drexel
64. Hartford
65. Mount St. Mary's
66. Texas Southern
67. Norfolk State
68. Appalachian State
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2021 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament – Wikipedia – Bracket updated after completion of tournament games

Louisville, Duke among this year's 5 biggest NCAA tournament snubs - Jeff Eisenberg, Yahoo! - March 14, 2021

2021 NCAA Tournament snubs: Louisville, Ole Miss lead biggest omissions from March Madness field - Chip Patterson, CBS Sports - March 14, 2021

What the NCAA tournament selection committee got right and wrong - Jeff Eisenberg, Yahoo! - March 15, 2021

Oklahoma State deserved a better seed, but the NCAA Tournament committee mostly got it right – Jerry Palm, CBS Sports - March 15, 2021


NCAA tournament snubs Louisville, Duke among teams to turn down NIT - Jason Owens, Yahoo! - March 15, 2021
In the sports world, navigating COVID-19 amounts to an exercise in risk vs. reward. Selection Sunday put that calculation to the test, and Louisville and Duke found their line. It's the NIT.

After being snubbed for the NCAA tournament, the Cardinals declined their inevitable NIT invitation before it arrived. The school announced shortly after the NCAA tournament field was announced that it will not play in the NIT, where it would have landed a likely No. 1 seed.

Duke, which wasn't in the conversation for an NCAA at-large bid, will also turned down the NIT after failing to make the NCAA tournament for the first time since 1995.

St. John's, Seton Hall, and Xavier all agreed. Thanks, but no thanks to traveling to Texas during a pandemic for a tournament with minimal stakes attached. None of the teams that opted out were listed when the NIT announced its bracket Sunday evening.

Louisville, Colorado State, St. Louis, and Ole Miss were the first four teams out of the NCAA tournament. They will be selected as replacement NCAA tournament teams in that order if COVID-19 forces teams from the field to opt out by Tuesday. Only Louisville declined an NIT bid.

Louisville, Duke, St. John's, Seton Hall, and Xavier were replaced in the NIT field by Louisiana Tech, Buffalo, Dayton, Western Ky., and Mississippi State.
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2021 National Invitation Tournament – Wikipedia – Bracket updated after completion of tournament games

Link:
On Sunday March 14, 2021 MUPanther wrote:
The 2021 National Invitational Tournament (NIT)

1. Colorado State
4. Buffalo
2. Davidson
3. NC State

1. Memphis
4. Dayton
2. Boise State
3. SMU

1. Staint Louis
4. Mississippi State
2. Richmond
3. Toledo

1. Ole Miss
4. Louisiana Tech
2. St. Mary's
3. Western Kentucky

NET RANKINGS 2020-21 – NCAA.com - Through Games on Selection Sunday, March 14, 2021
Rank • School • Conference • Overall W-L • (W-L vs. Quad 1 • W-L vs. Quad 2)

49 • Duke • ACC • 13-11 • ( 2-5 • 5-4 ) ==> Declined a presumed invitation to the NIT.
56 • Louisville • ACC • 13-7 • ( 1-6 • 6-0 ) ==> Declined a presumed invitation to the NIT.
57 • Seton Hall • Big East • 14-13 • ( 3-9 • 5-3 ) ==> Declined a presumed invitation to the NIT.
61 • Xavier • Big East • 13-8 • ( 1-4 • 5-3 ) ==> Declined a presumed invitation to the NIT.
69 • St. John's (NY) • Big East • 16-11 • ( 2-7 • 5-2 ) ==> Declined a presumed invitation to the NIT.

Replacement NIT Teams:
76 • Louisiana Tech • C-USA • 20-7 • ( 1-2 • 1-2 ) ==> NIT No. 4 Seed.
79 • Buffalo • MAC • 15-8 • ( 0-1 • 1-3 ) ==> NIT No. 4 Seed.
80 • Dayton • Atlantic 10 • 14-9 • ( 3-2 • 3-4 ) ==> NIT No. 4 Seed.
81 • Western Kentucky • C-USA • 20-7 • ( 1-3 • 3-1 ) ==> NIT No. 3 Seed.
82 • Mississippi State • SEC • 15-14 • ( 1-8 • 6-4 ) ==> NIT No. 4 Seed.
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Re: NCAA Tournament – Quantitative Reference Thread

Postby Fieldhouse Flyer » Tue Mar 23, 2021 8:42 pm

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MARCH 23, 2021 UPDATE: A CLOSER LOOK AT THE TOP 47 SEEDED TEAMS IN THE 2021 NCAA TOURNAMENT

TABLE 1: The Top 47 Seeded Teams - Sorted by NCAAT Overall Seed No.
TABLE 2: The Top 47 Seeded Teams - Sorted by (NCAAT Overall Seed No. - NET Ranking)
TABLE 3: The Top 47 Seeded Teams - Sorted by Conference
The Rise and Fall of the Big Ten Conference
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Official NCAA Tournament Bracket Seeding 1-68 • • • • NET RANKINGS 2020-21 • • • • 2021 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament Bracket

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TABLE 1: The Top 47 Seeded Teams - Sorted by NCAAT Overall Seed No.
NCAAT Overall Seed No. • NET Ranking • Tean • Conference • Difference: NCAAT Overall Seed No. - NET Ranking ==> Explanation

1 • 1 • Gonzaga • WCC • 0 ==> Seed No. same as NET Ranking.
2 • 2 • Baylor • Big 12 #1 • 0 ==> Seed No. same as NET Ranking.
3 • 3 • Illinois • Big Ten #1 • 0 ==> Seed No. same as NET Ranking.
4 • 4 • Michigan • Big Ten #2 • 0 ==> Seed No. same as NET Ranking.
5 • 7 • Alabama • SEC #1 • -2 ==> Seed No. 2 places better than NET Ranking.
6 • 8 • Ohio State • Big Ten #3 • -2 ==> Seed No. 2 places better than NET Ranking.
7 • 6 • Iowa • Big Ten #4 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
8 • 5 • Houston • AAC • 3 ==> Seed No. 3 places worse than NET Ranking.

9 • 14 • Arkansas • SEC #2 • -5 ==> Seed No. 5 places better than NET Ranking.
10 • 24 • West Virginia • Big 12 #2 • -14 ==> Seed No. 14 places better than NET Ranking.
11 • 21 • Texas • Big 12 #3 • -10 ==> Seed No. 10 places better than NET Ranking.
12 • 11 • Kansas • Big 12 #4 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
13 • 25 • Florida State • ACC #1 • -12 ==> Seed No. 12 places better than NET Ranking.
14 • 22 • Purdue • Big Ten #5 • -8 ==> Seed No. 8 places better than NET Ranking.
15 • 29 • Oklahoma State • Big 12 #5 • -14 ==> Seed No. 14 places better than NET Ranking.
16 • 12 • Virginia • ACC #2 • 4 ==> Seed No. 4 places worse than NET Ranking.

17 • 26 • Creighton • Big East #1 • -9 ==> Seed No. 9 places better than NET Ranking.
18 • 17 • Villanova • Big East #2 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
19 • 13 • Tennessee • SEC #3 • 6 ==> Seed No. 6 places worse than NET Ranking.
20 • 15 • Colorado • Pac-12 #1 • 5 ==> Seed No. 5 places worse than NET Ranking.
21 • 19 • USC • Pac-12 #2 • 2 ==> Seed No. 2 places worse than NET Ranking.
22 • 16 • Texas Tech • Big 12 #6 • 6 ==> Seed No. 6 places worse than NET Ranking.
23 • 20 • BYU • WCC • 3 ==> Seed No. 3 places worse than NET Ranking.
24 • 18 • San Diego State • Mountain West • 6 ==> Seed No. 6 places worse than NET Ranking.

25 • 33 • Oregon • Pac-12 #3 • -8 ==> Seed No. 8 places better than NET Ranking.
26 • 30 • UConn • Big East #3 • -4 ==> Seed No. 4 places better than NET Ranking.
27 • 41 • Clemson • ACC #3 • -14 ==> Seed No. 14 places better than NET Ranking.
28 • 31 • Florida • SEC #4 • -3 ==> Seed No. 3 places better than NET Ranking.
29 • 28 • LSU • SEC #5 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
30 • 10 • Loyola Chicago • MVC • 20 ==> Seed No. 20 places worse than NET Ranking.
31 • 32 • North Carolina • ACC #4 • -1 ==> Seed No. 1 place better than NET Ranking.
32 • 36 • Oklahoma • Big 12 #7 • -4 ==> Seed No. 4 places better than NET Ranking.

33 • 47 • Missouri • SEC #6 • -14 ==> Seed No. 14 places better than NET Ranking.
34 • 34 • Georgia Tech • ACC #5 • 0 ==> Seed No. same as NET Ranking.
35 • 26 • Wisconsin • Big Ten #6 • 9 ==> Seed No. 9 places worse than NET Ranking.
36 • 35 • Maryland • Big Ten #7 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
37 • 48 • Virginia Tech • ACC #6 • -11 ==> Seed No. 11 places better than NET Ranking.
38 • 37 • VCU • Atlantic 10 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
39 • 23 • St. Bonaventure • Atlantic 10 • 16 ==> Seed No. 16 places worse than NET Ranking.
40 • 38 • Rutgers • Big Ten #8 • 2 ==> Seed No. 2 places worse than NET Ranking.

41 • 40 • Syracuse • ACC #7 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
42 • 39 • Utah State • Mountain West • 3 ==> Seed No. 3 places worse than NET Ranking.
43 • 70 • Michigan State • Big Ten #9 • -27 ==> Seed No. 27 places better than NET Ranking.
44 • 46 • UCLA • Pac-12 #4 • -2 ==> Seed No. 2 places better than NET Ranking.
45 • 72 • Wichita State • AAC • -27 ==> Seed No. 27 places better than NET Ranking.
46 • 91 • Oregon State • Pac-12 #5 • -45 ==> Seed No. 45 places better than NET Ranking.
47 • 64 • Georgetown • Big East #4 • -17 ==> Seed No. 17 places better than NET Ranking.
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TABLE 2: The Top 47 Seeded Teams - Sorted by (NCAAT Overall Seed No. - NET Ranking)
NCAAT Overall Seed No. • NET Ranking • Tean • Conference • Difference: (NCAAT Overall Seed No. - NET Ranking) ==> Explanation

46 • 91 • Oregon State • Pac-12 #5 • -45 ==> Seed No. 45 places better than NET Ranking.

43 • 70 • Michigan State • Big Ten #9 • -27 ==> Seed No. 27 places better than NET Ranking.
45 • 72 • Wichita State • AAC • -27 ==> Seed No. 27 places better than NET Ranking.

47 • 64 • Georgetown • Big East #4 • -17 ==> Seed No. 17 places better than NET Ranking.
10 • 24 • West Virginia • Big 12 #2 • -14 ==> Seed No. 14 places better than NET Ranking.
15 • 29 • Oklahoma State • Big 12 #5 • -14 ==> Seed No. 14 places better than NET Ranking.
27 • 41 • Clemson • ACC #3 • -14 ==> Seed No. 14 places better than NET Ranking.
33 • 47 • Missouri • SEC #6 • -14 ==> Seed No. 14 places better than NET Ranking.
13 • 25 • Florida State • ACC #1 • -12 ==> Seed No. 12 places better than NET Ranking.
37 • 48 • Virginia Tech • ACC #6 • -11 ==> Seed No. 11 places better than NET Ranking.
11 • 21 • Texas • Big 12 #3 • -10 ==> Seed No. 10 places better than NET Ranking.

17 • 26 • Creighton • Big East #1 • -9 ==> Seed No. 9 places better than NET Ranking.
14 • 22 • Purdue • Big Ten #5 • -8 ==> Seed No. 8 places better than NET Ranking.
25 • 33 • Oregon • Pac-12 #3 • -8 ==> Seed No. 8 places better than NET Ranking.
9 • 14 • Arkansas • SEC #2 • -5 ==> Seed No. 5 places better than NET Ranking.
26 • 30 • UConn • Big East #3 • -4 ==> Seed No. 4 places better than NET Ranking.
32 • 36 • Oklahoma • Big 12 #7 • -4 ==> Seed No. 4 places better than NET Ranking.

28 • 31 • Florida • SEC #4 • -3 ==> Seed No. 3 places better than NET Ranking.
5 • 7 • Alabama • SEC #1 • -2 ==> Seed No. 2 places better than NET Ranking.
6 • 8 • Ohio State • Big Ten #3 • -2 ==> Seed No. 2 places better than NET Ranking.
44 • 46 • UCLA • Pac-12 #4 • -2 ==> Seed No. 2 places better than NET Ranking.
31 • 32 • North Carolina • ACC #4 • -1 ==> Seed No. 1 place better than NET Ranking.

1 • 1 • Gonzaga • WCC • 0 ==> Seed No. same as NET Ranking.
2 • 2 • Baylor • Big 12 #1 • 0 ==> Seed No. same as NET Ranking.
3 • 3 • Illinois • Big Ten #1 • 0 ==> Seed No. same as NET Ranking.
4 • 4 • Michigan • Big Ten #2 • 0 ==> Seed No. same as NET Ranking.
34 • 34 • Georgia Tech • ACC #5 • 0 ==> Seed No. same as NET Ranking.

7 • 6 • Iowa • Big Ten #4 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
12 • 11 • Kansas • Big 12 #4 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
18 • 17 • Villanova • Big East #2 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
29 • 28 • LSU • SEC #5 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
36 • 35 • Maryland • Big Ten #7 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
38 • 37 • VCU • Atlantic 10 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
41 • 40 • Syracuse • ACC #7 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
21 • 19 • USC • Pac-12 #2 • 2 ==> Seed No. 2 places worse than NET Ranking.
40 • 38 • Rutgers • Big Ten #8 • 2 ==> Seed No. 2 places worse than NET Ranking.
8 • 5 • Houston • AAC • 3 ==> Seed No. 3 places worse than NET Ranking.
23 • 20 • BYU • WCC • 3 ==> Seed No. 3 places worse than NET Ranking.
42 • 39 • Utah State • Mountain West • 3 ==> Seed No. 3 places worse than NET Ranking.

16 • 12 • Virginia • ACC #2 • 4 ==> Seed No. 4 places worse than NET Ranking.
20 • 15 • Colorado • Pac-12 #1 • 5 ==> Seed No. 5 places worse than NET Ranking.
19 • 13 • Tennessee • SEC #3 • 6 ==> Seed No. 6 places worse than NET Ranking.
22 • 16 • Texas Tech • Big 12 #6 • 6 ==> Seed No. 6 places worse than NET Ranking.
24 • 18 • San Diego State • Mountain West • 6 ==> Seed No. 6 places worse than NET Ranking.
35 • 26 • Wisconsin • Big Ten #6 • 9 ==> Seed No. 9 places worse than NET Ranking.

39 • 23 • St. Bonaventure • Atlantic 10 • 16 ==> Seed No. 16 places worse than NET Ranking.
30 • 10 • Loyola Chicago • MVC • 20 ==> Seed No. 20 places worse than NET Ranking.
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TABLE 3: The Top 47 Seeded Teams - Sorted by Conference
NCAAT Overall Seed No. • NET Ranking • Tean • Conference • Difference: NCAAT Overall Seed No. - NET Ranking ==> Explanation

3 • 3 • Illinois • Big Ten #1 • 0 ==> Seed No. same as NET Ranking.
4 • 4 • Michigan • Big Ten #2 • 0 ==> Seed No. same as NET Ranking.
6 • 8 • Ohio State • Big Ten #3 • -2 ==> Seed No. 2 places better than NET Ranking.
7 • 6 • Iowa • Big Ten #4 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
14 • 22 • Purdue • Big Ten #5 • -8 ==> Seed No. 8 places better than NET Ranking.
35 • 26 • Wisconsin • Big Ten #6 • 9 ==> Seed No. 9 places worse than NET Ranking.
36 • 35 • Maryland • Big Ten #7 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
40 • 38 • Rutgers • Big Ten #8 • 2 ==> Seed No. 2 places worse than NET Ranking.
43 • 70 • Michigan State • Big Ten #9 • -27 ==> Seed No. 27 places better than NET Ranking.

13 • 25 • Florida State • ACC #1 • -12 ==> Seed No. 12 places better than NET Ranking.
16 • 12 • Virginia • ACC #2 • 4 ==> Seed No. 4 places worse than NET Ranking.
27 • 41 • Clemson • ACC #3 • -14 ==> Seed No. 14 places better than NET Ranking.
31 • 32 • North Carolina • ACC #4 • -1 ==> Seed No. 1 place better than NET Ranking.
34 • 34 • Georgia Tech • ACC #5 • 0 ==> Seed No. same as NET Ranking.
37 • 48 • Virginia Tech • ACC #6 • -11 ==> Seed No. 11 places better than NET Ranking.
41 • 40 • Syracuse • ACC #7 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.

2 • 2 • Baylor • Big 12 #1 • 0 ==> Seed No. same as NET Ranking.
10 • 24 • West Virginia • Big 12 #2 • -14 ==> Seed No. 14 places better than NET Ranking.
11 • 21 • Texas • Big 12 #3 • -10 ==> Seed No. 10 places better than NET Ranking.
12 • 11 • Kansas • Big 12 #4 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
15 • 29 • Oklahoma State • Big 12 #5 • -14 ==> Seed No. 14 places better than NET Ranking.
22 • 16 • Texas Tech • Big 12 #6 • 6 ==> Seed No. 6 places worse than NET Ranking.
32 • 36 • Oklahoma • Big 12 #7 • -4 ==> Seed No. 4 places better than NET Ranking.

5 • 7 • Alabama • SEC #1 • -2 ==> Seed No. 2 places better than NET Ranking.
9 • 14 • Arkansas • SEC #2 • -5 ==> Seed No. 5 places better than NET Ranking.
19 • 13 • Tennessee • SEC #3 • 6 ==> Seed No. 6 places worse than NET Ranking.
28 • 31 • Florida • SEC #4 • -3 ==> Seed No. 3 places better than NET Ranking.
29 • 28 • LSU • SEC #5 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
33 • 47 • Missouri • SEC #6 • -14 ==> Seed No. 14 places better than NET Ranking.

20 • 15 • Colorado • Pac-12 #1 • 5 ==> Seed No. 5 places worse than NET Ranking.
21 • 19 • USC • Pac-12 #2 • 2 ==> Seed No. 2 places worse than NET Ranking.
25 • 33 • Oregon • Pac-12 #3 • -8 ==> Seed No. 8 places better than NET Ranking.
44 • 46 • UCLA • Pac-12 #4 • -2 ==> Seed No. 2 places better than NET Ranking.
46 • 91 • Oregon State • Pac-12 #5 • -45 ==> Seed No. 45 places better than NET Ranking.

17 • 26 • Creighton • Big East #1 • -9 ==> Seed No. 9 places better than NET Ranking.
18 • 17 • Villanova • Big East #2 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
26 • 30 • UConn • Big East #3 • -4 ==> Seed No. 4 places better than NET Ranking.
47 • 64 • Georgetown • Big East #4 • -17 ==> Seed No. 17 places better than NET Ranking.

8 • 5 • Houston • AAC • 3 ==> Seed No. 3 places worse than NET Ranking.
45 • 72 • Wichita State • AAC • -27 ==> Seed No. 27 places better than NET Ranking.

38 • 37 • VCU • Atlantic 10 • 1 ==> Seed No. 1 place worse than NET Ranking.
39 • 23 • St. Bonaventure • Atlantic 10 • 16 ==> Seed No. 16 places worse than NET Ranking.

24 • 18 • San Diego State • Mountain West • 6 ==> Seed No. 6 places worse than NET Ranking.
42 • 39 • Utah State • Mountain West • 3 ==> Seed No. 3 places worse than NET Ranking.

1 • 1 • Gonzaga • WCC • 0 ==> Seed No. same as NET Ranking.
23 • 20 • BYU • WCC • 3 ==> Seed No. 3 places worse than NET Ranking.

30 • 10 • Loyola Chicago • MVC • 20 ==> Seed No. 20 places worse than NET Ranking.
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The Rise and Fall of the Big Ten Conference

9 Big Ten teams an impressive tournament feat - Mike Berardino - Chicago Sun Times – Sunday March 14, 2021
No other conference received more than seven bids to the NCAA men’s basketball tournament.

BIg Ten Teams in the Tournament

Illinois (23-6): No. 1 seed in Midwest Region vs. No. 16 Drexel (12-7) at 12:15 Friday at Farmers Coliseum.

Michigan (20-4): No. 1 seed in East Region vs. winner of No. 16 Mount St. Mary’s (12-10)-Texas Southern (16-8) at 2 p.m. Saturday at Mackey Arena.

Ohio State (21-9): No. 2 seed in South Region vs. No. 15 Oral Roberts (16-10) at 2 p.m. Friday at Mackey Arena.

Iowa (21-8): No. 2 seed in West Region vs. No. 15 Grand Canyon (17-6) at 5:25 p.m. Saturday at Farmers Coliseum.

Purdue (18-9): No. 4 seed in South Region vs. No. 13 North Texas (17-9) at 6:25 p.m. Friday at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Wisconsin (17-12): No. 9 seed in South Region vs. No. 8 North Carolina (18-10) at 6:10 p.m. Friday at Mackey Arena.

Maryland (16-13): No. 10 seed in East Region vs. No. 7 Connecticut (15-7) at 6:10 p.m. Saturday at Mackey Arena.

Rutgers (15-11): No. 10 seed in Midwest Region vs. No. 7 Clemson (16-7) at 8:20 p.m. Friday at at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

Michigan State (15-12): No. 11 seed in East Region vs. No. 11 UCLA (17-9) in First Four at 8:57 p.m. Thursday at Mackey Arena.

Expectations are high that the Big Ten will dominate the NCAA bubble during the next three weeks.

“The toughest conference in all of college basketball,” CBS analyst Grant Hill said on-air from the Big Ten Tournament, “I think it’s safe to say at least one will be here at the Final Four.”

NCAA Tournament: USC boost Pac-12's profile as Big Ten collapses - David Cobb & Kyle Boone, CBS Sports – March 23, 2021
The maligned Pac-12 is sending more teams to the Sweet 16 than the heralded Big Ten

The Pac-12 has been maligned as a basketball league in recent years, and the conference was robbed of the opportunity to show its improvement on a national stage in 2020, when the NCAA Tournament was canceled due to the COVID-19 pandemic. But Monday produced a rather stunning reality: there will be four Pac-12 teams in the Sweet 16 and just one team from the Big Ten.

The Big Ten landed nine teams in the field of 68 and the Pac-12 landed only five. Four of the Big Ten's nine tournament teams were either No. 1 or No. 2 seeds, while the Pac-12's highest-seed was Colorado, which landed as a No. 5 seed. Ironically, the Buffaloes were the lone Pac-12 team to lose in the second round as they dropped a 71-53 decision to Florida State on Monday.

Another surprising element to the Pac-12's collective staying power in the Big Dance is that Arizona, one of the league's most prominent basketball schools, went through a self-imposed postseason ban this season that left it ineligible for the NCAA Tournament. But even without the Wildcats, the Pac-12 has proven to be stronger than expected.

The Pac-12, with its 9-1 NCAA Tournament record, is a big winner so far in this NCAA Tournament, and the Big Ten is an obvious loser.

2021 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 - Ben Kercheval, CBS Sports – March 23, 2021
South Regional
No. 1 Baylor (-6.5) vs. No. 5 Villanova
No. 3 Arkansas (-11) vs. No. 15 Oral Roberts

Midwest Regional
No. 8 Loyola Chicago (-6.5) vs. No. 12 Oregon State
No. 2 Houston (-6) vs. No. 11 Syracuse

East Regional
No. 1 Michigan (-3) vs. No. 4 Florida State
No. 2 Alabama (-5.5) vs. No. 11 UCLA

West Regional
No. 1 Gonzaga (-13.5) vs. No. 5 Creighton
No. 6 USC (-1) vs. No. 7 Oregon
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Please note that this is a Quantitative Reference Thread. Please post comments on the 2021 March Madness Thread.

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Re: NCAA Tournament – Quantitative Reference Thread

Postby Fieldhouse Flyer » Wed Apr 07, 2021 5:00 am

'
2021 NCAA Tournamen: Complete Schedule and Results – NCAA.com - April 6, 2021

2021 NCAA Tournament Records by Conference: Big Ten disappoints in March Madness - Jerry Palm, CBS Sports – April 6, 2021
The Big Ten had one of the all-time faceplants by a conference. Rarely has a league been so well-positioned to have a big tournament, yet it still fell flat. Of the five teams seeded to make the Sweet 16, only one advanced to that round. Good performances by the lower-seeded teams in the Big Ten helped to save a little face. Still, Big Ten teams won eight fewer games than expected.

The Big Ten is now the first league to put more than seven teams in the tournament and finish below .500.

This does not mean that the Big Ten was overrated. Teams earn selection and seeding based on what they do over a four-month regular season. The tournament, however, is a different animal. One bad day and you're done. The Big Ten teams that were selected earned it and were rewarded with seeds that they had earned as well. They just went out and wasted them.

RECORDS BY CONFERENCE IN 2021 NCAA TOURNAMENT

Expected record is as if each team went as far as its seed would indicate.

CONFERENCE (TEAMS IN FIELD) • RECORD • EXPECTED RECORD

Pac-12 (5) • 13-5 • 2-5
WCC (2) • 5-2 • 7-1
AAC (2) • 4-2 • 4-2
Summit (1) • 2-1 • 0-1
Big 12 (7) • 11-6 • 15-7
MVC (2) • 3-2 • 1-2
SEC (6) • 7-6 • 8-6
Big East (4) • 4-4 • 3-4
Conference USA (1) • 1-1 • 0-1
MAC (1) • 1-1 • 0-1
MEAC (1) • 1-1 • 1-1
Southland (1) • 1-1 • 0-1
SWAC (1) • 1-1 • 0-1
Big Ten (9) • 8-9 • 16-9
ACC (7) • 4-7 • 6-7
Mountain West (2) • 0-2 • 1-2
All others* • 0-1 • 0-1

* Atlantic 10 (St. Bonaventure. The first-round #7 Oregon vs. #10 VCU game was cancelled after VCU tested positive for COVID-19 and was disqualified.
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Re: NCAA Tournament – Quantitative Reference Thread

Postby Fieldhouse Flyer » Sat Oct 23, 2021 10:51 am

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2022 Selection Sunday: Start time, date, schedule - NCAA.com
Selection Sunday for the NCAA DI men's basketball tournament is Sunday, March 13, 2022.

I am reposting these preseason predictions in order to provide a future basis of comparison with the Selection Sunday NET Rankings on March 13, 2022.
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Rankings for 2021-22 – HLOH thread • Post #6 dated October 20, 2021

2020-21 Rankings - HLOH thread (66 posts dated December 14, 2020 to March 16, 2021)
On March 16, 2021, Fieldhouse Flyer wrote:
NET RANKINGS 2020-21 – NCAA.com - Through Games on Selection Sunday, March 14, 2021

Rank • School • Conference • Overall W-L • (W-L vs. Quad 1 • W-L vs. Quad 2 • W-L vs. Quad 3 • W-L vs. Quad 4)

17 • Villanova • Big East • 16-6 • (5-3 • 4-3 • 6-0 • 1-0) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 5 Seed.
26 • Creighton • Big East • 20-8 • (7-3 • 5-3 • 4-2 • 4-0) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 5 Seed.
30 • UConn • Big East • 15-7 • (4-4 • 3-3 • 5-0 • 3-0) ==> NCAA Tournament No. 7 Seed.

57 • Seton Hall • Big East • 14-13 • (3-9 • 5-3 • 4-1 • 2-0) ==> Declined a presumed invitation to the NIT.
61 • Xavier • Big East • 13-8 • (1-4 • 5-3 • 4-1 • 3-0) ==> Declined a presumed invitation to the NIT.
64 • Georgetown • Big East • 13-12 • (3-9 • 5-1 • 4-2 • 1-0) ==> Big East Champions • NCAA Tournament No. 12 Seed.
69 • St. John's (NY) • Big East • 16-11 • (2-7 • 5-2 • 4-1 • 5-1) ==> Declined a presumed invitation to the NIT.
85 • Providence • Big East • 13-13 • (4-7 • 2-5 • 4-1 • 3-0)
95 • Marquette • Big East • 13-14 • (5-9 • 2-4 • 3-0 • 3-1)
122 • Butler • Big East • 10-15 • (2-9 • 4-4 • 2-1 • 2-1)
163 • DePaul • Big East • 5-14 • (1-6 • 2-5 • 0-3 • 2-0)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2022 T-Rank College Basketball Projections - barttorvik.com – October 13, 2021
12. Villanova
18. Connecticut
19. Xavier
32. Seton Hall
47. Providence

65. Butler
72. Creighton
78. St. John's
95. Marquette
98. DePaul
115. Georgetown

119. Dayton

2022 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings – Ken Pomeroy – October 13, 2021
9. Villanova
21. Connecticut
26. Xavier
50. Seton Hall

51. St. John's
53. Creighton
55. Butler
76. Georgetown

84. Dayton
85. Providence
87. Marquette
140. DePaul

College basketball No. 1-358 rankings: Preseason countdown concludes with top 68 teams for 2021-22 season – Matt Norlander, CBS – October 14, 2021
3. Villanova
25. Xavier
33. UConn
37. Seton Hall
49. St. John's

55. Providence
63. Creighton

71. Dayton
83. Butler
96. Georgetown
105. Marquette
131. DePaul

Villanova tabbed to win Big East by conference coaches - Associated Press – October 19, 2021
NEW YORK (AP) Villanova has dominated the Big East over the last decade under the guidance of coach Jay Wright. The fourth-ranked Wildcats were the unanimous choice to win the conference in a preseason coaches poll released Tuesday. The team, which has won seven of the last eight regular-season titles, received all 10 first-place votes from the league's coaches. Coaches couldn't vote for their own team, and Wright picked AP No. 24 Connecticut.

1. Villanova
2. UConn
3. Xavier
4. St. John's
5. Seton Hall
6. Butler
7. Providence
8. Creighton
9. Marquette
10. Georgetown
11. DePaul
======================================================================================================================================

Rankings for 2021-22 – HLOH thread • Post #7 dated October 20, 2021

THE SETUP

On October 18, 2021, Xuperman wrote:
Check out the predictions of guys that KNOW what they're doing!

https://barttorvik.com/

On October 19, 2021, GumbyDamnit! wrote:
Wait a second... Barttorvik has Dayton (#119) as behind every other team in the BE--including DePaul and G'town. Where's FFlyer?

GumbyDamnit! – I don’t put much stock in preseason predictions, simply because there are too many significant unknowns about most teams. Dayton has 11 freshmen, a sophomore, and a junior this season – so no one was expecting a Top 50 team this season, but things are looking good for the Flyers during the following three seasons.

Xuperman – I very rarely take requests, but in this particular instance, my epistemic curiosity got the better of me, so I decided to Check out the predictions of guys that KNOW what they're doing! by comparing numbers from the 2019-20 season:

(1) Matt Norlander’s CBS Sports Preseason Predictions vs. the NCAA Men’s Basketball NET Rankings on Selection Sunday - March 15, 2020

(2) Barttovik.com’s November 9, 2019 Rankings vs. the NCAA Men’s Basketball NET Rankings on Selection Sunday - March 15, 2020

I was unable to find barttovik’s preseason predictions for the 2019-20 season (as they now appear to be unavailable), but I was able find a link to barttovik’s rankings on November 9, 2019, which I will use as my basis for comparison with the NCAA NET Rankings on Selection Sunday - March 15, 2020.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

THE DATA

Ranking every college basketball team from No. 1 to 353 for the 2019-20 season – Matt Norlander, CBS Sports – October 22, 2019
2. Kansas
8. Gonzaga

15. Providence
17. Villanova

20. Baylor
23. Seton Hall
36. Xavier

37. Dayton
45. Georgetown

52. Marquette

54. Connecticut
56. Creighton
67. Butler
87. DePaul
111. St. John's

NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball NET Rankings – WarrenNolan.com – updated Sunday March 15, 2020
1. Gonzaga • 31–2 (15–1)
2. Kansas • 27–3 (17–1)
3. Dayton • 29–2 (18–0)
5. Baylor • 26–4 (15–3)

11. Creighton • 23–7 (13–5)
13. Villanova • 24–7 (13–5)
15. Seton Hall • 21–9 (13–5)
19. Butler • 22–9 (10–8)
26. Marquette • 18–12 (8–10)
37. Providence • 19–12 (12–6)
47. Xavier • 19–13 (8–10)


60. Connecticut • 19–12 (10–8 AAC)
62. St. John's • 17–15 (5–13)
65. Georgetown • 15–17 (5–13)
86. DePaul • 15–16 (3–15)

2020 Customizable T-Rank and Tempo-Free Stats - barttorvik.com – updated Saturday November 9, 2019
5. Villanova • 1–0 (0–0)
6. Marquette • 1–0 (0–0)
9. Providence • 2–0 (0–0)
28. St. John's • 2–0 (0–0)

29. Kansas • 1–1 (0–0)
30. Butler • 2–0 (0–0)
31. Xavier • 2–0 (0–0)

34. Baylor • 1–1 (0–0)

56. Connecticut • 1–0 (0–0 AAC)
67. Gonzaga • 2–0 (0–0)
86. Seton Hall • 2–0 (0–0)
91. Dayton • 1–0 (0-0)
123. DePaul • 2–0 (0–0)
161. Creighton • 1–0 (0-0)
195. Georgetown • 2–0 (0–0)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

THE COMPARISONS

(1) Matt Norlander’s CBS Sports Preseason Predictions vs. the NCAA Men’s Basketball NET Rankings on Selection Sunday - March 15, 2020

(2) Barttovik.com’s November 9, 2019 Rankings vs. the NCAA Men’s Basketball NET Rankings on Selection Sunday - March 15, 2020


(1) Matt Norlander’s CBS Sports Preseason Predictions vs. the NCAA Men’s Basketball NET Rankings on Selection Sunday - March 15, 2020
Teams sorted by NET Ranking on Selection Sunday

Difference = NET Ranking on Selection Sunday - Matt Norlander’s Preseason Prediction

-7 = 1. Gonzaga – 8.
0 = 2. Kansas - 2.
-34 = 3. Dayton – 37.
-15 = 5. Baylor – 20.

-45 = 11. Creighton - 56.
-4 = 13. Villanova – 17.
-8 = 15. Seton Hall - 23.
-48 = 19. Butler – 67.
-26 = 26. Marquette - 52.
+22 = 37. Providence - 15.
+11 = 47. Xavier - 36.


+6 = 60. Connecticut – 54.
-49 = 62. St. John's – 111.
+20 = 65. Georgetown - 45.
-1 = 86. DePaul - 87.

(1) Matt Norlander’s CBS Sports Preseason Predictions vs. the NCAA Men’s Basketball NET Rankings on Selection Sunday - March 15, 2020
Teams sorted by Difference

Difference = NET Ranking on Selection Sunday - Matt Norlander’s Preseason Prediction

-49 = 62. St. John's – 111.
-48 = 19. Butler – 67.
-45 = 11. Creighton - 56.

-34 = 3. Dayton – 37.
-26 = 26. Marquette - 52.

-15 = 5. Baylor – 20.
-8 = 15. Seton Hall - 23.
-7 = 1. Gonzaga – 8.
-4 = 13. Villanova – 17.
0 = 2. Kansas - 2.
-1 = 86. DePaul - 87.
+6 = 60. Connecticut – 54.
+11 = 47. Xavier - 36.

+20 = 65. Georgetown - 45.
+22 = 37. Providence - 15.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

(2) Barttovik.com’s November 9, 2019 Rankings vs. the NCAA Men’s Basketball NET Rankings on Selection Sunday - March 15, 2020
Teams sorted by NET Ranking on Selection Sunday

Difference = NET Ranking on Selection Sunday - Barttovik.com’s November 9, 2019 Ranking

-66 = 1. Gonzaga - 67.
-27 = 2. Kansas - 29.
- 88 = 3. Dayton - 91.
-31 = 5. Baylor – 34.

-150 = 11. Creighton -161.
+8 = 13. Villanova – 5.
-71 = 15. Seton Hall - 86.
-11 = 19. Butler – 30.
+20 = 26. Marquette – 6.
+28 = 37. Providence - 9.
+16 = 47. Xavier - 31.


+4 = 60. Connecticut - 56.
+34 = 62. St. John's – 28.
-130 = 65. Georgetown – 195.
-37 = 86. DePaul – 123.

(2) Barttovik.com’s November 9, 2019 Rankings vs. the NCAA Men’s Basketball NET Rankings on Selection Sunday - March 15, 2020
Teams sorted by Difference

Difference = NET Ranking on Selection Sunday - Barttovik.com’s November 9, 2019 Ranking

-150 = 11. Creighton -161.
-130 = 65. Georgetown – 195.

-88 = 3. Dayton - 91.
-71 = 15. Seton Hall - 86.
-66 = 1. Gonzaga - 67.
-37 = 86. DePaul – 123.
-31 = 5. Baylor – 34.
-27 = 2. Kansas - 29.

-11 = 19. Butler – 30.
+4 = 60. Connecticut - 56.
+8 = 13. Villanova – 5.
+16 = 47. Xavier - 31.

+20 = 26. Marquette – 6.
+28 = 37. Providence - 9.
+34 = 62. St. John's – 28.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

THE EXTREMA

(1) Matt Norlander’s CBS Sports Preseason Predictions vs. the NCAA Men’s Basketball NET Rankings on Selection Sunday - March 15, 2020
Difference = NET Ranking on Selection Sunday - Matt Norlander’s Preseason Prediction

-49 = 62. St. John's – 111.
-48 = 19. Butler – 67.
-45 = 11. Creighton - 56.

-34 = 3. Dayton – 37.
-26 = 26. Marquette - 52.

+20 = 65. Georgetown - 45.
+22 = 37. Providence - 15.

(2) Barttovik.com’s November 9, 2019 Rankings vs. the NCAA Men’s Basketball NET Rankings on Selection Sunday - March 15, 2020
Difference = NET Ranking on Selection Sunday - Barttovik.com’s November 9, 2019 Ranking

-150 = 11. Creighton -161.
-130 = 65. Georgetown – 195.

-88 = 3. Dayton - 91.
-71 = 15. Seton Hall - 86.
-66 = 1. Gonzaga - 67.
-37 = 86. DePaul – 123.
-31 = 5. Baylor – 3 4.
-27 = 2. Kansas - 29.

+20 = 26. Marquette – 6.
+28 = 37. Providence - 9.
+34 = 62. St. John's – 28.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

THE CONCLUSION

Fifteen teams were selected for this study (i.e. the 11 Big East teams plus 1. Gonzaga, 2. Kansas, 3. Dayton, and 5. Baylor).

The Extrema shows that Matt Norlander’s CBS Sports Preseason Predictions had the places of 7 teams wrong by 20 or more places. In 5 instances, Matt picked teams to finish more than 20 places worse than the Selection Sunday NET Rankings. In 2 instances, Matt picked teams to finish more than 20 places better than the Selection Sunday NET Rankings. Matt’s worst error was 49 places (NET #62 St. John’s, who Matt predicted to finish at #111).

The Extrema shows that Barttovik.com’s November 9, 2019 Rankings had the places of 11 teams wrong by 20 or more places. In 8 instances, Bart picked teams to finish more than 20 places worse than the Selection Sunday NET Rankings. In 3 instances, Bart picked teams to finish more than 20 places better than the Selection Sunday NET Rankings. While Matt Norlander did not have any preseason predictions wrong by more than 50 places, Bart Tovik had 5 out of 15 predictions wrong by more than 65 places.

On October 18, 2021, Xuperman wrote:
Check out the predictions of guys that KNOW what they're doing!

https://barttorvik.com/

Wrong.

On October 19, 2021, GumbyDamnit! wrote:
Wait a second... Barttorvik has Dayton (#119) as behind every other team in the BE--including DePaul and G'town. Where's FFlyer?

Try to curb your enthusiasm over a less-than-reliable preseason prediction. You have my solemn assurance that I will eat my fedora on Selection Sunday if Dayton finishes behind all 11 Big East teams in the NCAA’s NET Rankings published on Selection Sunday, 2022.
.
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Re: NCAA Tournament – Quantitative Reference Thread

Postby Fieldhouse Flyer » Mon Dec 06, 2021 12:22 pm

.
NCAA NET Rankings Explained - Peter Dewey, FanSided - November 23, 2021
What’s the difference between NET rankings and KenPom?

KenPom, which is a separate ranking developed by Ken Pomeroy, looks at several statistical formulas that come together to form the Adjusted Efficiency Margin for every team. The better Adjusted Efficiency Margin, the higher the team is ranked.

Essentially, the goal of Adjusted Efficiency Margin is to show how much each team would outscore an average college basketball team per 100 possessions. Pomeroy’s ranking system incorporates statistics including shooting percentage, margin of victory, and strength of schedule, to calculate each team’s efficiency independent of injuries or emotional factors in the game.

While NET uses offensive and defensive efficiency as part of its formula, there are still several other factors (game locations for example) that differ from KenPom.

2022 Pomeroy Preseason College Basketball Ratings – Ken Pomeroy – October 13, 2021
9. Villanova (#1 in BE)
21. Connecticut (#2 in BE)
26. Xavier (#3 in BE)
30. St. Bonaventure (1# in A10)
50. Seton Hall (#4 in BE)

51. St. John's (#5 in BE)
53. Creighton (#6 in BE)
64. Richmond (#2 in A10)
55. Butler (#7 in BE)
76. Georgetown (#8 in BE)
84. Dayton (#3 in A10)
85. Providence (#9 in BE)
87. Marquette (#10 in BE)
91. Davidson (#4 in A10)
92. Saint Louis (#5 in A10)
98. VCU (#6 in A10)
100. Rhode Island (#7 in A10)

107. Massachusetts (#8 in A10)
140. DePaul (#11 in BE)
181. Duquesne (#9 in A10)
197. La Salle (#10 in A10)

203. Saint Joseph's (#11 in A10)
212. George Mason (#12 in A10)
214. George Washington (#13 in A10)
245. Fordham (#14 in A10)

2022 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings – Ken Pomeroy – December 6, 2021
6. Villanova (#1 in BE)
26. Connecticut (#2 in BE)
31. Xavier (#3 in BE)
32. Seton Hall (#4 in BE)
42. St. Bonaventure (1# in A10)

53. Providence (#5 in BE)
61. Richmond (#2 in A10)
66. Davidson (#3 in A10)
68. St. John's (#6 in BE)
72. Creighton (#7 in BE)
77. Marquette (#8 in BE)
83. Rhode Island (#4 in A10)
85. Butler (#9 in BE)
89. Saint Louis (#5 in A10)
93. VCU (#6 in A10)
94. Dayton (#7 in A10)

107. DePaul (#10 in BE)
117. Georgetown (#11 in BE)
121. Massachusetts (#8 in A10)
156. George Mason (#9 in A10)

205. Duquesne (#10 in A10)
209. Saint Joseph's (#11 in A10)
219. Fordham (#12 in A10)
237. La Salle (#13 in A10)
255. George Washington (#14 in A10)

NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL NET RANKINGS – FIRST RELEASE – NCAA.com – December 6, 2021
5. Villanova • Big East • 6-2
13. UConn • Big East • 8-1
21. Seton Hall • Big East • 6-1
30. Xavier • Big East • 7-1
37. Providence • Big East • 8-1

54. Davidson • Atlantic 10 • 6-2
67. Saint Louis • Atlantic 10 • 6-2
72. VCU • Atlantic 10 • 4-4
78. Marquette • Big East • 7-2
83. Rhode Island • Atlantic 10 • 6-3
88. St. Bonaventure • Atlantic 10 • 7-1
89. Creighton • Big East • 7-2
94. DePaul • Big East • 6-1
95. Dayton • Atlantic 10 • 6-3
98. Richmond • Atlantic 10 • 5-4

108. St. John's (NY) • Big East • 6-2
125. Massachusetts • Atlantic 10 • 6-3
149. George Mason • Atlantic 10 • 4-5
170. Fordham • Atlantic 10 • 6-4
197. Butler • Big East • 3-3

211. Saint Joseph's • Atlantic 10 • 4-4
247. Georgetown • Big East • 3-4
267. Duquesne • Atlantic 10 • 3-6
281. George Washington • Atlantic 10 • 2-8
286. La Salle • Atlantic 10 • 3-4
======================================================================================================================================
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Re: NCAA Tournament – Quantitative Reference Thread

Postby Fieldhouse Flyer » Wed Dec 08, 2021 8:20 am

.
College Basketball Rankings: The NCAA NET Rankings Debut – David Cobb, CBS Sports - December 6, 2021 at 2:30 pm ET
Here's a quick look at some of the NET's surprising early rankings, followed by the top 10 below.

Unfavorable: No. 39 Kentucky, No. 48 Illinois, No. 63 Michigan, No. 70 Virginia, No. 77 Florida State, No. 153 Oregon, No. 221 Arizona State,
No. 247 GeorgetownFavorable: No. 23 Wagner, No. 29 Chattanooga, No. 41 Monmouth

NET RANKING RECORD AP TOP 25 COACHES POLL

1. Purdue • 8-0 • 1 • 1
2. LSU • 8-0 • 25 • 24
3. Arizona • 7-0 • 11 • 8
4. Houston • 7-1 • 14 • 13
5. Villanova • 6-2 • 6 • 6
6. Baylor • 8-0 • 2 • 2
7. USC • 8-0 • 16 • 15
8. Gonzaga • 7-2 • 5 • 5
9. Iowa • 7-1 • NR • NR
10. Duke • 7-1 • 3 • 3
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