kayako wrote:90 is a little high, but yeah recruiting has been "power 6" + a handful of schools outside of it on top.
Don't expect too much Nova contribution for 2020. We have no seniors, no guaranteed oad, and an incoming transfer that year. I think we'll end up with a one player class without multiple players transferring out.
adoraz wrote:I think 90 (P6+14) is actually a bit conservative on a year to year basis, given that this year there are:
6 AAC players
4 WCC
2 A10
1 Ivy
3 Undecided
That adds up to 16 players, which is more than every conference but 2. Send those 16 players to a made up 14 team conference and they'd have arguably the best class, especially since they'd have the #1 recruit in the country.
Are there 14 teams worthy of being power teams? Not really. But are there 14 teams (equivalent to 1 conference) that eat up the remaining recruits the P6 doesn't get to each year? Absolutely. The teams may change a tiny bit each year, but you'd always be able to find 14 non P6 teams that recruit equivalent to how the power conferences recruit. Last year for instance, we would have swapped UMass and Harvard (who got top 100 recruits this year) for teams that recruited very well in 2018 like WKU and Nevada.
kayako wrote:adoraz wrote:I think 90 (P6+14) is actually a bit conservative on a year to year basis, given that this year there are:
6 AAC players
4 WCC
2 A10
1 Ivy
3 Undecided
That adds up to 16 players, which is more than every conference but 2. Send those 16 players to a made up 14 team conference and they'd have arguably the best class, especially since they'd have the #1 recruit in the country.
Are there 14 teams worthy of being power teams? Not really. But are there 14 teams (equivalent to 1 conference) that eat up the remaining recruits the P6 doesn't get to each year? Absolutely. The teams may change a tiny bit each year, but you'd always be able to find 14 non P6 teams that recruit equivalent to how the power conferences recruit. Last year for instance, we would have swapped UMass and Harvard (who got top 100 recruits this year) for teams that recruited very well in 2018 like WKU and Nevada.
3 undecideds are going pro, and Memphis and Gonzaga account for 9 of remaining 13 players. The number was smaller last year, too. But I see where your approximation approach is coming from.
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