The 2019 Bracket Matrix

[Fieldhouse Flyer]

For future reference, here is a snapshot of prognostications made prior to the start of Big East conference games:

The 2019 Bracket Matrix - bracketmatrix.com

MATRIX as of 12/24/2018

#5 seed (#19 overall) - Marquette - 5.24 average seed (34 of 35 ballots)

#7 seed (#25 overall) - Villanova - 6.74 average seed (34 of 35 ballots)

#8 seed (#32 overall) - St. John's - 8.58 average seed (33 of 35 ballots)

#9 seed (#35 overall) - Butler - 8.88 average seed (34 of 35 ballots)

#11 seed (#41 overall) - Seton Hall - 9.94 average seed (18 of 35 ballots)

#11 seed (#44 overall) - Creighton - 10.36 average seed (25 of 35 ballots)

OTHERS RECEIVING VOTES

Providence - 11.25 average seed (4 of 35 ballots)

2018-19 Big East Conference Expanded Standings - ESPN (updated daily)

2018-19 Big East Conference 7-Day Schedule - ESPN (updated daily)

2018-19 AP Poll and Coaches Poll - ESPN (updated on Mondays)

[Fieldhouse Flyer]

The 2019 Bracket Matrix - bracketmatrix.com

MATRIX as of 12/31/2018

#5 seed (#19 overall) - Marquette - 5.03 average seed (35 of 35 ballots)

#6 seed (#24 overall) - Villanova - 6.74 average seed (34 of 35 ballots)

#9 seed (#35 overall) - Seton Hall - 9.00 average seed (28 of 35 ballots)

#9 seed (#36 overall) - St. John's - 9.06 average seed (32 of 35 ballots)

#10 seed (#38 overall) - Butler - 9.29 average seed (31 of 35 ballots)

#10 seed (#40 overall) - Creighton - 9.79 average seed (24 of 35 ballots)

NEXT FOUR OUT

Providence - 10.56 average seed (9 of 35 ballots)

OTHERS RECEIVING VOTES

Georgetown - 10.00 average seed (2 of 35 ballots)

Xavier - 10.50 average seed (2 of 35 ballots)

[Fieldhouse Flyer]

The 2019 Bracket Matrix - bracketmatrix.com

MATRIX as of 1/7/2019

#6 seed (#22 overall) - Marquette – 6.05 average seed (56 of 56 ballots)

#7 seed (#27 overall) - Villanova – 7.27 average seed (56 of 56 ballots)

#7 seed (#28 overall) - St. John's – 7.38 average seed (56 of 56 ballots)

#8 seed (#32 overall) - Seton Hall – 8.57 average seed (53 of 56 ballots)

#11 seed (#41 overall) - Creighton - 9.69 average seed (48 of 56 ballots)

FIRST FOUR OUT

First team out - Butler – 10.67 average seed (33 of 56 ballots)

[Fieldhouse Flyer]

Friday March 1, 2019 Update

The 2019 Bracket Matrix - bracketmatrix.com

MATRIX as of 2/28/2019

#3 seed (#11 overall) - Marquette – 3.34 average seed (122 of 122 ballots)
#6 seed (#24 overall) - Villanova – 6.53 average seed (122 of 122 ballots)
#9 seed (#33 overall) - St. John's – 8.75 average seed (122 of 122 ballots)
#12 seed (#46 overall) - Seton Hall – 11.47 average seed (95 of 122 ballots)

FIRST FOUR OUT
Second team out - Butler – 11.83 average seed (24 of 122 ballots)

OTHERS RECEIVING VOTES
Creighton - 12.00 average seed (2 of 122 ballots)
Georgetown - 12.00 average seed (2 of 122 ballots)

It’s March 1st and the Big East has only two ‘locks’ for the NCAA Tournament. Big bubble for the Big East this season.
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More Numbers (for comparative purposes)

NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL NET RANKINGS - ncaa.com - Games through Thursday, February 28th

21 - Marquette
27 - Villanova

54 - Butler
57 – Creighton
59 - St. John's
64 - Seton Hall
71 – Xavier
72 – Georgetown
78 – Providence

110 - DePaul

I would have expected a stronger correlation between the NET Rankings and Bracket Matrix this late in the season.
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2018-19 BIG EAST STANDINGS - Games through Thursday, February 28th

TEAM (CONF W-L) OVERALL W-L

#10 Marquette(12-3) 23-5
Villanova (12-4) 21-8

St. John's (8-8) 20-9
Xavier (8-8) 16-13
Georgetown (7-8) 17-11
Seton Hall (7-8) 16-11
Butler (6-9) 15-13
Creighton (6-9) 15-13
Providence (6-10) 16-13
DePaul (5-10) 13-13

The third place through tenth place teams are surely knocking the stuffings out of each other this season.
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Big East Media Day - Coaches Poll and All Conference Teams - Post # 1

Big East Coaches Poll (with Final 2017-18 W-L Records)

1. Villanova (34-6, 14-4), 79 points
2. Marquette (21-14, 9-9), 70 points

3. Providence (21-14, 8-8), 58 points
4. St. John’s (16-17, 4-14), 57 points
5. Butler (21-14. 9-9), 45 points
6. Xavier (29-6, 15-3), 41 points
7. Georgetown (15-15, 5-13), 33 points
8. Seton Hall (22-12, 10-8), 26 points
9. Creighton (21-12, 10-8), 25 points
10. DePaul (11-20, 4-14), 16 points

So far, the Coaches Poll’s biggest miss is Providence.

[Fieldhouse Flyer]

.
The FINAL 2019 BRACKET MATRIX - bracketmatrix.com

MATRIX as of Selection Sunday, March 17, 2019

Actual NCAA Tournament Seed (overall seed) - Team - MATRIX average seed, MATRIX predicted seed (No. of 195 ballots)

#5 seed (#19 overall) - Marquette – 5.72 average seed, MATRIX #6 Seed (195 of 195 ballots)
#6 seed (#21 overall) - Villanova – 5.23 average seed, MATRIX #5 Seed (195 of 195 ballots)
#10 seed (#38 overall) - Seton Hall – 8.38 average seed, MATRIX #8 Seed (193 of 195 ballots)
#11 seed (#44 overall) - St. John's – 11.02 average seed, MATRIX #11 Seed (128 of 195 ballots)

OTHERS RECEIVING VOTES:
Creighton – 11.20 average seed (5 of 195 ballots)
Georgetown - 11.00 average seed (1 of 195 ballots)

The BRACKET MATRIX got one of the Big East’s seeds right (and all four BE NCAA teams right), but it didn’t have St. John’s travelling to Dayton.
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NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL NET RANKINGS - SELECTION SUNDAY - ncaa.com - Games through Sunday, March 17th

26 – Villanova (25-9; NCAA Tournament # 6 Seed)
28 – Marquette (24-9; NCAA Tournament # 5 Seed)
57 - Seton Hall (20-13; NCAA Tournament # 10 Seed)
73 - St. John's (21-12; NCAA Tournament # 11 Seed – First Four Play-in Game at UD Arena)

53 – Creighton (18-14; NIT # 2 Seed)
64 – Butler (16-16; NIT # 5 Seed)
67 – Xavier (18-15; NIT # 3 Seed)
70 – Providence (18-15; NIT # 4 Seed)
82 – Georgetown (19-13; NIT # 3 Seed)