Wizard of Westroads wrote:
Huskies come in 40th in top 144, 4th in BE.
Last year, UConn was not listed in
CSM’s Top 144 teams of 2019-20, but finished the season with a Final NET Ranking of
#60.
#6 Villanova Wildcats (#1 in Big East) – College Sports Madness 2019-20 Top 144 Previews – October 31, 2019
#19 Seton Hall Pirates(#2 in Big East) – College Sports Madness 2019-20 Top 144 Previews – October 18, 2019
#23 Xavier Musketeers (#3 in Big East) – College Sports Madness 2019-20 Top 144 Previews – October 14, 2019
#27 Marquette Golden Eagles (#4 in Big East) – College Sports Madness 2019-20 Top 144 Previews – October 10, 2019
#33 Creighton Bluejays (#5 in Big East) – College Sports Madness 2019-20 Top 144 Previews – October 14, 2019
#47 Georgetown Hoyas (#6 in Big East) – College Sports Madness 2019-20 Top 144 Previews – September 20, 2019
#58 Providence Friars (#7 in Big East) – College Sports Madness 2019-20 Top 144 Previews – September 9, 2019
#77 Butler Bulldogs (#8 in Big East) – College Sports Madness 2019-20 Top 144 Previews – August 21, 2019
#110 St. John’s Red Storm (#9 in Big East) – College Sports Madness 2019-20 Top 144 Previews – July 18, 2019
Not in CSM’s Top 144:
DePaul (#10 in Big East)---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FINAL NCAA NITTY-GRITTY REPORT - SELECTION SUNDAY 2020 (through games of March 12, 2020) – NCAA.org
NET Ranking • Team • (W-L) • SOS Ranking • Non-conference SOS Ranking • (Record vs. Quad 1 and Quad 2 Teams)
11 • Creighton • (23-7) • (-) • 23 • 155 • (15-7)
13 • Villanova • (24-7) • 3 • 36 • (16-7)
15 • Seton Hall • (21-9) • 4 • 78 • (15-9)
19 • Butler • (22-9) • 54 • 228 • (15-9)
26 • Marquette • (18-12) • 5 • 62 • (11-12)
37 • Providence • (19-12) • 9 • 129 • (12-8)
47 • Xavier • (19-13) • 15 • 71 • (10-13)
60 • UConn • (19-12) • 80 • 171 • (5-10)
62 • St. John's • (17-15) • 46 • 202 • (7-14)
65 • Georgetown • (15-17) • 10 • 80 • (8-16)
86 • DePaul • (15-16) • 73 • 301 • (7-15)
CSM’s Predicted Final Ranking • Team • Final NET Ranking • DIFFERENCE: Final NET Ranking Final Ranking - CSM’s Predicted Final Ranking #6 • Villanova Wildcats • #13 • 7 places worse than CSM’s prediction#19 • Seton Hall Pirates • #15 • 4 places better than CSM’s prediction#23 • Xavier Musketeers • #47 •
24 places worse than CSM’s prediction#27 • Marquette Golden Eagles • #26 • 1 place better than CSM’s prediction#33 • Creighton Bluejays • #26 • 7 places better than CSM’s prediction#47 • Georgetown Hoyas • #65 •
18 places worse than CSM’s prediction#58 • Providence Friars • #37 • 21 places better than CSM’s prediction#77 • Butler Bulldogs • #19 • 58 places better than CSM’s prediction#110 • St. John’s Red Storm • #62 •
48 places better than CSM’s predictionNot in CSM’s Top 144: UConn • #60 •
at least 84 places better than CSM’s unspecified predictionNot in CSM’s Top 144:
DePaul • #86 •
at least 58 places better than CSM’s unspecified predictionFINAL BRACKET MATRIX - SELECTION SUNDAY 2020Final 2020 Bracket Matrix – Averages of 97 Final BracketsSeed No. • Team • Conference • Average Seed No.2 • Villanova • Big East • 2.21
2 • Creighton • Big East • 2.31
3 • Seton Hall • Big East • 3.30
5 • Butler • Big East • 4.90
8 • Providence • Big East • 8.14
9 • Marquette • Big East • 8.87
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NCAA Tournament – Quantitative Reference Thread – Post #31On October 1, 2020 Fieldhouse Flyer wrote:
Average number of Big East teams in AP Top 25 Poll = (17 teams/7 years) = 2.4 teams per year.
Average number of Big East teams in the NCAA Tournament = (38 teams/7 years) = 5.4 teams per year.
Bottom Line: The ten-team averages of 2.4 Big East teams in AP Top 25 Poll per year and 5.4 Big East teams in the NCAA Tournament per year have become the de facto benchmarks for the 10-team Big East Conference.
Big East Benchmarks for the 2020-21 Season and Beyond:
If UConn is assumed to be a statistically average Big East team, the new benchmarks for the 11-team conference will be as follows:
Average number of Big East teams in the AP Top 25 Poll = (11/10)(17 teams/7 years) = 2.67 teams per year.
Average number of Big East teams in the NCAA Tournament = (11/10)(38 teams/7 years) = 5.97 teams per year.
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adoraz wrote:
We're always underestimated pre-season though.
No – you’re not.
CSM correctly predicted that six Big East teams would be invited to the 2019-20 NCAA Tournament.
CSM is again predicting that six Big East teams will be invited to the 2020-21 NCAA Tournament. See
Benchmarks above.