Odd decisions by the committee
Posted: Tue Mar 14, 2017 9:03 am
St Mary's finished the season with an RPI of 17. Normally that would equate to a 5-seed. Maybe a 4 under some circumstances. No matter, there's not AA dime's worth of difference between a 4-seed and a 5. BPI ranked St Mary's at #12. C,early this is a dangerous team that can do some damage as either a 4 or a 5. The committee dropped them to a 7-seed.
VCU finished the season with an RPI of 22. Normally a 6-seed. The committee dropped them to a 10 AND paired them with St Mary's in a 7-10 matchup.
Pity Arizona which earned a 2-seed only to find themselves in the 2nd round facing a team that is as strong as a 5 or a 6 by RPI instead of the 7 or 10 that they had every right to expect.
Let's follow this through with the assumption that St Mary's beats VCU as expected. St Mary's gets a shot at Arizona. IMO St Mary's can beat Arizona. The 2 teams are that close. If they do, the only thing between them and a rematch with Gonzaga is the Xavier-Florida State winner. It doesn't take a lot of imagination to see St Mary's winning that game too.
So I have to ask, why? Why put an undervalued 7-seed in the same region as the only other team in their conference, a team favored to get to the regional finals? They couldn't find a spot for St Mary's in another region?
Then there's the case of the Midwest region. At least Gonzaga & St Mary's can't meet until the finals and it would take a couple of upsets for that to happen. In the Midwest, Kansas is the #1 seed. They don't even have to wait for the finals to be matched up with a team from their conference. Iowa State is the 5-seed in the same region. It would hardly be a surprise if they beat Purdue in the 4-5 game. Since that can be anticipated in a toss up game, why do it?
Other less likely but still possible scenarios involve the East Region where Villanova is only a couple of upsets away from facing Marquette or PC and the Midwest where Purdue and Michigan State could be fighting it out to face Michigan.
I realize that some of this is unavoidable, but it makes no sense to set up the bracket such that teams have a legit shot at getting to a matchup with a conference rival who is favored to make the regional finals. The conference tournaments have already taken place. They're over. It should take a major upset to replay them.
VCU finished the season with an RPI of 22. Normally a 6-seed. The committee dropped them to a 10 AND paired them with St Mary's in a 7-10 matchup.
Pity Arizona which earned a 2-seed only to find themselves in the 2nd round facing a team that is as strong as a 5 or a 6 by RPI instead of the 7 or 10 that they had every right to expect.
Let's follow this through with the assumption that St Mary's beats VCU as expected. St Mary's gets a shot at Arizona. IMO St Mary's can beat Arizona. The 2 teams are that close. If they do, the only thing between them and a rematch with Gonzaga is the Xavier-Florida State winner. It doesn't take a lot of imagination to see St Mary's winning that game too.
So I have to ask, why? Why put an undervalued 7-seed in the same region as the only other team in their conference, a team favored to get to the regional finals? They couldn't find a spot for St Mary's in another region?
Then there's the case of the Midwest region. At least Gonzaga & St Mary's can't meet until the finals and it would take a couple of upsets for that to happen. In the Midwest, Kansas is the #1 seed. They don't even have to wait for the finals to be matched up with a team from their conference. Iowa State is the 5-seed in the same region. It would hardly be a surprise if they beat Purdue in the 4-5 game. Since that can be anticipated in a toss up game, why do it?
Other less likely but still possible scenarios involve the East Region where Villanova is only a couple of upsets away from facing Marquette or PC and the Midwest where Purdue and Michigan State could be fighting it out to face Michigan.
I realize that some of this is unavoidable, but it makes no sense to set up the bracket such that teams have a legit shot at getting to a matchup with a conference rival who is favored to make the regional finals. The conference tournaments have already taken place. They're over. It should take a major upset to replay them.