by stever20 » Wed Dec 26, 2018 10:48 am
So looking at Ken Pom- but not at their % projections, but rather their absolute predictions (so 51% and 99% are the same)
Nova 15-3 24-7
Mar 15-3 26-5
But 14-4 23-8
Cre 12-6 20-10(vs d1 teams)
SJ 10-8 22-9
SH 8-10 17-13
PC 7-11 17-14
Xav 5-13 13-18
Dep 3-15 11-18
Geo 2-16 12-19
Would say 5 bids there.... With 2 in the NIT.
I guess which one do you think is more likely?
Nova/Marquette/Butler finishing with 15/15/14 wins
or
Xavier/DePaul/Georgetown finishing with 5/3/2 wins
My thought is that the bottom 3 aren't finishing with only 10 wins(and only 4 vs everyone else).
I think you could see top 3 finishing with only 10 losses(only 4 vs everyone else). Often times you do see 2-3 teams split away if you will and get on a roll....